Quote:
Originally Posted by venice10
One trend I've noticed is that we are seeing more hand history threads that go, "I raised pf, hit TP, bet the flop and turn and someone raised me. What should I do?"
Several years ago, even most noobs knew the answer: fold. Today, people tend to ignore older authors like Harrington (just an old man) and older threads (playing conditions are so different today).
One of my pet peeves on 2+2 is this tendency to think that poker has evolved so much over the past few years that "now" things are just so different today that you can just ignore all the theory and work and principles and foundations and concepts etc. etc. established by those old guys of yesteryear.
Well boys and girls, if you believe that, then you are in for a world of pain.
The truth is, the vast majority of our villains, easily more than 90% of them, have never heard of 2+2 or read a poker book or if they did, they read one or two of them years ago and discounted most of the book because it differed from the fish logic they've come to embrace...
My point is that the reason why most of the "old school" concepts, theories, principles, etc of poker still apply today is because fish are still fish; they still hold dear their fishy beliefs that are centered on results oriented poker.
Lastly, my other big 2+2 pet peeve is the tendency of thinking players on this site to level themselves when it comes to rather straight forward situations into which the 2+2er starts thinking, "Well I only have to be good here 25% of the time..."
yes, fine, whatever, you only have to be good 25% of the time. However there is another even more important question you need to ask yourself: Is the villain you are up against CAPABLE of bluffing or overvaluing their hand or "whatever" 25% of the time...
And most often, the answer is no. And that same principle is at the heart of the Baluga Theorem.
You've been playing with some rec-fish who all day has been calling down his TPMK or TPGK. You are up against this rec-fish and you have JJ
flop: 9
8
4
You bet he calls
Turn: 2
You bet, he blasts the pot all in...
Hero???
Too often, this is where the leveling begins and all that "only have to be good 33% of the time...I'm getting 2:1 on a call..." yada yada yada comes out.
Against certian player types and villains, sure this can be a call, an easy call, a snap call....
But against the majority of player types and villains, the writing is on the wall that this is a fold...
Long story short, the Baluga theorem still holds today, and if you dismiss it because you think it is "old school" and that "poker has evolved" then yeah, you are going to burn a lot of money...
Last edited by dgiharris; 12-01-2013 at 02:04 PM.