Quote:
Originally Posted by StinkHolePatrol
I'd snap you off so fast on this river if I got there with a king.
You're reping very thin on this river. All kings to this point are two paired now except AK and KJ. That means you're saying you have a set or KQ. If you're trying to say you have AA or AK I think those hands would check back this river because calling a check raise would be hard/suicide.
you 7.5xd preflop which is trying to say you have a premium hand, the only premium hand that should bet this river is a set or KQ suited.
I'd probably just check jam with Kj if I were villain. Just in case you do go for very thin value. But definitely at least calling because you're repping such a narrow line with a river bet on the ten.
AJ will open pre, will cbet, will barrel turn with 0 SDV and a gutter, and bomb river when I get there.
KQ will open pre, bet flop, bet turn, and bet river.
88 will open pre, bet flop, bet turn, and bet river.
If villain has KJ, that gives us 12 combos of AJ, 6 combos of KQ, and 3 combos of 88. (EDIT: One combo of KK still out there, but probably checks a dry board or bets smaller.) Add in any overplayed AA/AK if you want.
Our natural bluffs are.... what exactly? If villain expects us to slow down when we pick up equity, we should be checking turn with all of our Qx. How often is a TAG player blasting off on 3 streets with AT/T9 or turning Qx into a bluff immediately on the turn? This bluff worked because QJ blocks all the best hands he could have called with and it is a low frequency play.
If you want to call down with KJ here,
most of the time you are gonna get pounded because
most of the time r/b/b/b is KQ+.