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Should I fold on the river or not? Should I fold on the river or not?

07-08-2014 , 11:51 AM
I played 1/2 at my local casino last night. Here is one of the hand I played.

I just sat down and that was the 4-5 hands I saw, so still have ~150bbs. I picked up KhKd on utg+1.

I raised to $15. MP+1 & SB called.

Flop: 2 3 10 all diamond.

SB checked. I bet $40. Both called.

Turn: 5d

SB checked. I bet $80. MP+1 called. SB folded.

River was a brick. I forgot what was it, it's something like 9c or Qc.

I checked. MP+1 bet $80.
Should I fold on the river or not? Quote
07-08-2014 , 11:58 AM
I would likely have checked the Turn to call a modest River Bet, but I probably still call here getting 5-1 on my money.
Should I fold on the river or not? Quote
07-08-2014 , 12:39 PM
Poker is pretty simple when you first break things down in to ranges, then ask yourself what is the best play against his range.

So first of all, what is villain's player type. This will tell us a lot about his range. Is he loose passive? Tight passive? Seems like a regular. Even after 5 hands. If you've seen him limp a hand already, and he's old, he's probably loose passive.

Once you've identified that, its easier to think about his range (not only for this spot, but in future spots). Player type is a good place to start, and also if you've ever seen villains show down hands before, then you can alter what their range looks like in your head.

This is definitely a call. Even if you see the A, you can't feel too bad about it because you only need to win this bet 20% of the time to show a profit in the long run (your getting 1 to 5 on a call). Something that has helped me against villains that are unlikely to bluff is, can they have worse value hands? If they have worse value hands in their range, I could see a villain overvalueing or betting thinly the Q. Even with only the Q and A that he's betting here, your getting way too good of a price Hope that helps!
Should I fold on the river or not? Quote

      
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