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Sensing Weakness from River Bet Sizing Sensing Weakness from River Bet Sizing

04-09-2019 , 09:20 PM
1/2 NL 8:30 AM @ Borgata

Game is actually very deep for a 1/2 game. Good action during the open this past week. Game is overall loose passive however we have one maniac at the table who is creating good table dynamics.

Villain- mid 40's TAG. Has been doing a lot of limp reraising since the maniac is raising almost every hand. Saw him do it with pocket 10's so we can say his range is def not nutted. Seems ABC postflop and hasn't tangled with us in any pots yet.

OTH

UTG- limps 2
UTG+1- limps 2
MP-limps 2
Hero- limps 2 with 109 ($600) effective
SB- completes for 2 (villain)
BB- makes it 12

Everybody calls

Pot- 72$

Flop- 1082

(villain) SB- donk leads 55

folds to me

Hero- calls 55

Turn- J

Villain- bets out 65$

Turn bet seems really weak to me. On such a wet board any tpe of value is going much larger. He does have a lot of Jx in his range especially JX. Or one pair combo draws. You get my point. For this sizing im never folding and we still are open ended.

hero- calls 65$

Pot- $312

River- 6

Villain- bets out 100$

Hero- can we turn this into a bluff????? our stack is 400ish behind
Sensing Weakness from River Bet Sizing Quote
04-10-2019 , 07:50 AM
I can actually get behind a turn fold. I understand that maniac has completely changed the dynamic of the table, but after flop it's heads up and you aren't the maniac.

Villain lead the flop six ways. He will have some heart draws, BUT he's going to be heavily weighted towards value hands. We are almost never good.

I see what you mean about the sizing making him look weak, but I don't like a shove for two reasons: 1) I don't like the idea, in general, of shoving and trying to get certain hands to fold. It won't work often enough to be profitable. 2) We are no where near the bottom of our range. We are almost never good in this spot, but I don't like turning hands into bluffs unless we are towards the bottom of our range. Folding>calling>shoving.
Sensing Weakness from River Bet Sizing Quote
04-10-2019 , 11:31 AM
If you had the 9 of hearts I might get behind a turn min raise and river jam.

But he could very well have q9 hearts here or 79hearts and downbet the turn because he has the whole god damn board.


If you jam now without raising turn it looks really bluffy. You're reping 79/q9 hearts or 67 of diamonds only. When people narrow themselves to exactly one/two hands it's easy to call them lighter.

All other 79/q9 straights are raising turn, so by just flatting turn you fukt yourself here.

I'd see through it but I don't know if the players at your table would.

Last edited by StinkHolePatrol; 04-10-2019 at 11:39 AM.
Sensing Weakness from River Bet Sizing Quote

      
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