Quote:
Originally Posted by -C-P-
Jeez guys, read through this forum sometime and look at all the threads telling people to bet/fold the turn with medium-strength holdings....
The reason people give that advice so often is because your average villain at live low stakes is pretty terrible and will often call with worse holdings but rarely raise with worse as a bluff so you can comfortably bet/fold. Just because the OP described this villain as a solid tag doesn't mean he isn't also pretty terrible, especially since that is the only read we were given. He may not have read all those 2+2 posts about bet/folding marginal hands.
I would pretty much always fold this pre flop when facing this type of villain, sizing, and with this stack depth.
You made it to the flop, and assuming you flopped a flush draw (that part isn't particularly clear since you didnt specify the suit) you flopped pretty well. You're perceived range on this flop will have some sets but tons and tons of draws or other marginal holdings. Because you have so many draws and marginal hands in your range and the villain should know this, I prefer flatting the flop to raising.
The turn doesn't really complete many draws for you, I think you'd probably be raising your weaker draws like KJ on the flop to balance with your sets. The only hand that would have improved for you is QJ but I don't know if you would want to be betting QJ on this turn. Anyway, I check back the turn with the intention of giving up on the river unimproved.
Now that you bet the turn small and dug the hole a little deeper, I really don't know what I would be doing on the river. He clearly has some showdown value and I don't think you have many terribly strong hands in your range after taking this line. I am pretty sure he would be able to talk himself into a call very often so I don't really like a bluff here. If you feel you must win this hand for some reason I would go pretty big on the river and try to represent bottom set or something like that.