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Self quarantine: the LLSNL Coronaids thread Self quarantine: the LLSNL Coronaids thread

05-23-2020 , 06:51 AM
Correct Venice, plus the total case numbers are far higher which means the proportionate rise in cases gets lower every day
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05-23-2020 , 08:01 AM
Lol it's like y'all arent even looking at state level data.

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05-23-2020 , 08:24 AM
not surprising at all that global pandemics are zoltan's time to shine

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05-23-2020 , 11:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoltan
Lol it's like y'all arent even looking at state level data.

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Cliffs on this word salad?
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05-23-2020 , 11:46 AM
Cliffs on zoltan speek:

he sez although the numbers seem stabul ackshually many states are showing spikes and the whole thing is appearing to b flat cuz NY and NJ numbers have come down so much
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05-23-2020 , 11:51 AM
we need squid for ambassador to the un
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05-23-2020 , 11:52 AM
Why do we have to do independent research to figure this out? Shouldn't the folks up top be providing the information?
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05-23-2020 , 12:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
Why do we have to do independent research to figure this out? Shouldn't the folks up top be providing the information?
without getting two political its really tough to follow leadership that is curious as to how ingesting bleach will impact covid
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05-23-2020 , 02:46 PM
Here is Australia's Curve. It is an example of a curve that has been successfully flattened:



This is the US's Curve:



This is the # of new cases per day in Australia:



This is the # of new cases per day in the US:



Any questions?
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05-23-2020 , 02:52 PM
Thanks. I hadn't checked the Hopkins map for some time. The Washington Post displays a (apparently very misleading) death chart that has been declining every day for the past weeks, creating a bell-shaped curve, and that led me to believe that we had been flattening. I guess I was wrong. It does appear that there is some decline in the number of new cases, but obviously not nearly where we want/need to be, especially considering how many states are opening already.

Last edited by DumbosTrunk; 05-23-2020 at 03:07 PM.
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05-23-2020 , 03:37 PM
At some point, laptard made one of his trademarked context free posts about testing numbers increasing

Welp

Coronavirus and CDC: Test Counting Error Leaves Epidemiologists ‘Really Baffled’ https://nyti.ms/3c2EV17

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05-23-2020 , 03:39 PM
the USA graph is similar to my state. The # of daily new cases is remarkably stable, resulting in an almost perfect linear climb of total cases. Recovered people are not subtracted from the curve. However testing has gone up exponentially, I could get tested at a supermarket if I really wanted to. If it was really spreading like wildfire the curves would look much different.
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05-23-2020 , 03:44 PM
Lol the article explained exactly why we can't say testing has gone up.

Also, NY dominates any curve, so unless you remove that ENORMOUS outlier, any statements about patterns are nonsense.

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05-23-2020 , 03:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
Why do we have to do independent research to figure this out? Shouldn't the folks up top be providing the information?
They do, but it doesn't make for good click bait.

https://public.tableau.com/profile/j...9-TrendTracker

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05-23-2020 , 04:02 PM
Early on the virus spreads exponentially. That rate of growth is no longer exponential and looks rather flat. that is one good piece of news.

However, there was an expectation that we could shut down the economy and replicate what was done in Asia and that certainly did not happen. The US has 96,582 deaths. South Korea has 266 deaths. If South Korea had handled it similar to the US it would have over 15,000 deaths (and counting). However, instead South Korea only had 11,165 recorded cases. Dallas County, where I live, has just 2.6 million people but is closing in on the # of deaths for all of South Korea (51 million people).

BTW, I find the state data to be far more valuable than overall US data. New York's data, as an example, is not really representative of what is going on in other parts of the country like California or Texas.
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05-23-2020 , 06:10 PM
DC,

it’s unfair to compare the US numbers with the Australian ones, on account of how much more awesome and high achieving Australians are in general. You should compare America with a country of similar talents and achievements like Poland or Belarus
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05-23-2020 , 06:56 PM
If you think about it, the places that have had difficulty flattening the curve are also the places with very curvy women (Italy, Spain, Brazil, New York City). Perhaps there is a connection there...and perhaps it's worth the trade-off.
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05-23-2020 , 07:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by feel wrath
DC,

it’s unfair to compare the US numbers with the Australian ones, on account of how much more awesome and high achieving Australians are in general. You should compare America with a country of similar talents and achievements like Poland or Belarus
Australians are some of the most incredible people on the planet



but....

Spoiler:
I hear there are a bunch of brits living there too.



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05-23-2020 , 11:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Axel Foley
If you think about it, the places that have had difficulty flattening the curve are also the places with very curvy women (Italy, Spain, Brazil, New York City). Perhaps there is a connection there...and perhaps it's worth the trade-off.
Italians have weaker lungs and is an older nation.

Rio de J's graph has such an extreme spike that they obviously changed their counting practices last week.
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05-24-2020 , 03:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by feel wrath
DC,

it’s unfair to compare the US numbers with the Australian ones, on account of how much more awesome and high achieving Australians are in general. You should compare America with a country of similar talents and achievements like Poland or Belarus
i know, i know, spent a lot of time with your kind up here but this is the american perception





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05-24-2020 , 07:39 PM



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05-24-2020 , 10:13 PM
The above people are just too dumb. God's got your back doesn't mean get in your car and drive down the freeway with your eyes closed because God's got you covered. Look at that poor brainwashed child
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05-24-2020 , 10:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nutella virus
The above people are just too dumb. God's got your back doesn't mean get in your car and drive down the freeway with your eyes closed because God's got you covered. Look at that poor brainwashed child
What does it mean then? You sure they are the dumb ones?
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05-24-2020 , 10:31 PM
Reading comprehension problems? God taking care of you isn't an excuse to act like a moron. How hard is that to understand? Or are you playing grammar police

Last edited by nutella virus; 05-24-2020 at 10:36 PM.
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05-24-2020 , 11:04 PM
I'm just trying to understand how God has our back.
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