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Old 09-02-2019, 02:13 PM   #1
ThaGlades
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Join Date: Aug 2019
Location: Blind Aggresionville
Posts: 27
River bet size

Game: $1/2 nl
9 handed, 6 players(3 are walking)
Effective stack size is $200


utg limps
Co and sb call
Hero in Bb checks with 89
Pot: $8
Flop: 89Q
Sbchecks, H bets $6 and only Co calls
Pot: $20
Turn: 8
Hero bets $13, Co calls
Pot $46
River: A
Hero bets $46 dollars

My thinking on the river bet size is that any missed draws are folding no matter what anyways, any straights(very unlikely given flop action) will call a pot sized bet, and any suited combo of A-10 will also call a large portion of the time in order to bluff catch since the river bricked. My main question is would there be a better bet size that could balance out having queens, A-10, jj, 10-10 and straights calling here to increase overall EV? Obv is villain is a calling station, going bigger here makes sence. But what about against a well balanced player or even slightly tighter than well balanced?

Thanks for any help!
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Old 09-02-2019, 02:51 PM   #2
mdelore
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Join Date: Oct 2013
Posts: 1,315
Re: River bet size

Are you ever really going to have air in this spot you want to balance? 4 ways you shouldn't be very airy leading on 89Qr so I think balance especially at 1/2 is not much of a thing.

Personally I'd go like 2/3 or 3/4 pot on the river and get a call from Ax more easily. When you lead 4 ways and pot river on a paired board you're representing only a bb special.

Edit: on second thought how many Ax does V have here, probably not much. He's got quite a bit of JT that smooth called flop, or Qx that now splits with other Q's.
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Old 09-02-2019, 02:53 PM   #3
sixsevenoff
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Re: River bet size

In these spots on the flop, I always bet $10, because 1/2 villains don't really look at bets as fractions of the pot, so over betting here isn't bad.

Turn, again, I'd go larger, probably $20. As played, I think river sizing is fine. There aren't a whole lot of missed draws, so no point in checking to induce because Qx will just check back.
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Old 09-03-2019, 10:18 AM   #4
ThaGlades
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Re: River bet size

I agree on the flop and turn bet sizing. thank you
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Old 09-03-2019, 10:22 AM   #5
jtm1208
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Re: River bet size

The river is pretty bad for you as V probably has a weak queen or a missed draw, and not very many aces. I'd like a $25-$30 bet in this spot as I think you'll get enough cry calls out of queens.
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