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"The Pen:" Live NLHE Chat Thread "The Pen:" Live NLHE Chat Thread

03-13-2020 , 02:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bwslim69
I suppose it’s possible but I’m gonna need a bit more of a rebuttal than “the data is wrong”.

The guy is a fairly esteemed infectious disease guy at Hopkins
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

i've never read anything even remotely low as the death rates he's given, just look here at the cured vs dead and it's pretty terrifying

i'm guessing he's assuming a much larger population of undiagnosed people who got sick and recovered - but then again if he's doing that shows he's definitely guesstimating here

in the bfi thread there's been a lot of people debunking that scientist as well, some people even brought up prior situations in the past where he was laughably incorrect in his prediction
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03-13-2020 , 02:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

i've never read anything even remotely low as the death rates he's given, just look here at the cured vs dead and it's pretty terrifying
Well he said he's looking at the Korean stats since they're the closest to reality. Which it's currently at 0.8% so higher than his .6%. We still got a ways to go though so we'll see. But safe to say somewhere around 1% is probably fair. But once the hospitals fill up who knows.

We'll see in September. But yeah it's moving quickly as expected. And still big lol to the people who were like it's only in China and before they could finish their sentence it had already reached the states.

I remember someone saying I was making a big deal out of nothing because there were 2 cases reported in California. Well I'm glad I'm not the only one that thought this was a big deal.

Rick can you mail out some test kits?
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03-13-2020 , 02:28 AM
i personally think you guys are insane going to the gym, just being surrounded by other people's sweat, one person gets it and goes to the gym and it'll be pretty hard not for anyone else to get it

for reference in china we're using toothpicks hit buttons on the elevator despite being hundreds of miles from wuhan and in a city with no infections

guys, this is one of the few threads that isn't all aids on 2p2, i'd hate to lose any of you to covid so you can impress 67o with your abs

please just chill on going to the gym until this thing blows over

confucious say, learn from pinko commie china and shut it down
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03-13-2020 , 02:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic
Well he said he's looking at the Korean stats since they're the closest to reality. Which it's currently at 0.8% so higher than his .6%. We still got a ways to go though so we'll see. But safe to say somewhere around 1% is probably fair. But once the hospitals fill up who knows.

We'll see in September. But yeah it's moving quickly as expected. And still big lol to the people who were like it's only in China and before they could finish their sentence it had already reached the states.

I remember someone saying I was making a big deal out of nothing because there were 2 cases reported in California. Well I'm glad I'm not the only one that thought this was a big deal.

Rick can you mail out some test kits?
problem is those labs don't want to deal with small orders, can definitely do it though if there's interest in volume - got a phone call with a lab in paris tonight so finger's crossed they'll be able to cooperate and then at least we'll have a partner in europe for testing - europe i'm not so concerned about - they got their stuff together except the uk when it comes to testing for the most part

US is the problem where few labs have permission and those that do very appropriately are using that government granted monopoly to charge thousands to do the testing
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03-13-2020 , 02:34 AM
What's MOQ and unit price if you can share it?
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03-13-2020 , 02:58 AM
i haven't clarified on this stuff with the suppliers in a while since haven't had anyone actually interested and i'm hesitant to make any declarations without doing that first (ie n95 masks can go up or down in price dramatically each day) but I'm guessing <$25 a test and I could probably talk them into doing this with just a few hundred orders - for example one place is capable of producing 20k per day

main issue again with smaller orders is shipping costs scale on volume, unless you're flying them urgently (which I have no idea about the costs of that) then shipping container has the best roi and should arrive in about a week, that container cost is cheap if it's full but quite expensive if you'd just put a few hundred units in it and leave it mostly empty
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03-13-2020 , 03:05 AM
Are you only allowed to sell and distribute to labs? Or you can sell to anyone?
Can you administer these tests yourself or are they pretty sophisticated and require a lab tech?
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03-13-2020 , 03:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
for reference in china we're using toothpicks hit buttons on the elevator despite being hundreds of miles from wuhan and in a city with no infections
Yeah but....

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dream Crusher
On the other side of the coin though, I doubt as many Americans will be spreading their spit across elevator buttons like they are doing in China.

Although I just saw a video of a white dude who pulled his mask down so he could rub some spit all over a pole in a subway car.
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03-13-2020 , 03:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic
Yeah I want my money back. What a scam. Can I sue bitcoin for false advertising?
BTC held itself out as an intangible currency made of bits of code and backed by absolutely nothing. You got what you bargained for.

Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
i personally think you guys are insane going to the gym, just being surrounded by other people's sweat, one person gets it and goes to the gym and it'll be pretty hard not for anyone else to get it

for reference in china we're using toothpicks hit buttons on the elevator despite being hundreds of miles from wuhan and in a city with no infections

guys, this is one of the few threads that isn't all aids on 2p2, i'd hate to lose any of you to covid so you can impress 67o with your abs

please just chill on going to the gym until this thing blows over

confucious say, learn from pinko commie china and shut it down
If I change my lifestyle then the virus has already won.
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03-13-2020 , 03:20 AM
Supposedly people are licking the poles you hold onto on the London Underground and purposefully coughing without covering their mouths to make light of the situation. Using the gym right now seems like a massively unnecessary risk also
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03-13-2020 , 03:37 AM
Haven't gone to the gym in six weeks.

I mean, because of the virus. Of course.
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03-13-2020 , 03:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wj294
Supposedly people are licking the poles you hold onto on the London Underground and purposefully coughing without covering their mouths to make light of the situation.
Very funny...



...in hindsight.
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03-13-2020 , 04:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic
Are you only allowed to sell and distribute to labs? Or you can sell to anyone?
Can you administer these tests yourself or are they pretty sophisticated and require a lab tech?
i'm in china, i can do anything i damn please please

the blood ones anyone who can draw their own blood can do, the spit one would require a lab tech

for blood - i really doubt much of the population would feel comfortable drawing their own blood even if it were capable outside of a niche market of diabetics and even then maybe not

for spit - we'd need to find a lab that's local, otherwise by time they sent back sample to a lab in china would arrive they'd already be dead or recovered

so ideally looking to just sell the kits and documentation to people who can navigate the regulation and legal loopholes on their own end - can send the machinery too but probably not necessary because i'm told it's quite common

RcluelesscoronavirustestingnoobR
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03-13-2020 , 08:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll

guys, this is one of the few threads that isn't all aids on 2p2, i'd hate to lose any of you to covid so you can impress 67o with your abs

Literally the only guy on 2p2 who thinks chat thread isn't aids
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03-13-2020 , 08:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donat3llo
How many of y'all are still gym'ing it up?

Peeps in my fitness group are still grinding it out in the gym. I skipped lifting today and went for a run outside instead.


Put my membership on hold

Looks like I’m going to have to start jogging


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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03-13-2020 , 08:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoltan
Literally the only guy on 2p2 who thinks chat thread isn't aids
More like a mild case of herpes with the occasional zoltard drip flare up but it seems to come and go

Re: test kits, price is a bit lower than I estimated and they'll probably ship a few hundred
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03-13-2020 , 08:41 AM
The NFL just announced they are suspending the season until fcuking September...

Sh*ts getting serious.
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03-13-2020 , 09:15 AM
So when do you gym rats start the leveling wars with the other rats?

I'd guess that the gym will be wide open once the herd is under full panic conditions.
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03-13-2020 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoltan
Literally the only guy on 2p2 who thinks chat thread isn't aids
I can't believe I'm saying this

Spoiler:
I think I agree with Zollie...However
Spoiler:
STFU Zoltan is obv
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03-13-2020 , 11:29 AM
Yeah, yesterday was my last day at the gym for a while :/

I also got a long email about new procedures & potentially working from home this morning (once I was already at work).

If anyone needs something extra to do, I'm running a Coronavirus Draft where you try to live the best life in a quarantined world.
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03-13-2020 , 11:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator
The NFL just announced they are suspending the season until fcuking September...

Sh*ts getting serious.
This is the sentiment of most of my friends. My sister on the other hand is a baseball junky. Stopped by yesterday evening and she was still in her pajamas watching reruns of CSI. She is not handling no spring training games or college games to watch very well.

I on the other hand like me some golf too and they just postponed The Masters. What the hell are we supposed to watch when we're are self quarantined? Maybe ESPN will show reruns of those goofy sports they aired when they first started. Timber sports, arm wrestling, bowling etc...
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03-13-2020 , 11:46 AM
Interesting that people are choosing to self-quarantine without having rifles stuck in their faces. Who would've thought? Mind blowing stuff.
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03-13-2020 , 11:46 AM
Give it a week or two and we'll have gyms (and everything else) simply devoted to those with coronavirus, so then we can all go back to our normal routine.

Gdrinkingoutofthenon-coronaviruswaterfountain,fornowG
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03-13-2020 , 11:46 AM
Our gym closed yesterday until further notice.
CO schools closed; lacrosse cancelled until 4/6.

Just tuned my skis tho....storm starts in an hour. (avoiding gondola will be good strat )
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03-13-2020 , 11:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic
Interesting that people are choosing to self-quarantine without having rifles stuck in their faces. Who would've thought? Mind blowing stuff.
Indeed... I wonder what happens in 5 days when they run out of food.
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