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Old 03-12-2020, 03:36 PM   #6976
BiteMeFish
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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Originally Posted by OvertlySexual View Post
I am at the casino, first time in 6 weeks.



4 players at the table have the mildest of coughs.



I am terrified.
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Old 03-12-2020, 03:43 PM   #6977
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

New table features a throat clearer, a more heavy cougher and a guy who is considerate enough to have a scarf cover his mouth.

It’s fun because I am gambling with both my chips and my life! Like I am in the deerhunter Russian roulette scene only instead of a bullet, I have to dodge a cough droplet!
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Old 03-12-2020, 03:44 PM   #6978
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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Thanks, good listen. Even this guy's likely scenario where he's using 0.06 cfr and 40% infected leaves 800k Americans dead by this time next year. Much like the flu or the H1N1. I see now how they're the same and these shutdowns and quarantines are silly.
for what it's worth the data that guy is giving is wrong so I'd be very skeptical of anything else he says
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Old 03-12-2020, 03:45 PM   #6979
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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Thanks, good listen. Even this guy's likely scenario where he's using 0.06 cfr and 40% infected leaves 800k Americans dead by this time next year. Much like the flu or the H1N1. I see now how they're the same and these shutdowns and quarantines are silly.


Huh? I didn't say they were the same. I just thought he was interesting a bit less dour in his forecast
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Old 03-12-2020, 03:47 PM   #6980
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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Originally Posted by OvertlySexual View Post
New table features a throat clearer, a more heavy cougher and a guy who is considerate enough to have a scarf cover his mouth.

It’s fun because I am gambling with both my chips and my life! Like I am in the deerhunter Russian roulette scene only instead of a bullet, I have to dodge a cough droplet!
Youre probably brushing your teeth with fecal matter
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Old 03-12-2020, 03:51 PM   #6981
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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for what it's worth the data that guy is giving is wrong so I'd be very skeptical of anything else he says


I suppose it’s possible but I’m gonna need a bit more of a rebuttal than “the data is wrong”.

The guy is a fairly esteemed infectious disease guy at Hopkins
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Old 03-12-2020, 03:57 PM   #6982
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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for what it's worth the data that guy is giving is wrong so I'd be very skeptical of anything else he says
How is anyone's data reliable when they can't count the young Typhoid Marys who carry the virus but don't get sick?
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Old 03-12-2020, 04:06 PM   #6983
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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Huh? I didn't say they were the same. I just thought he was interesting a bit less dour in his forecast
I know you didn't. Just thinking out loud.
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Old 03-12-2020, 04:16 PM   #6984
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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I suppose it’s possible but I’m gonna need a bit more of a rebuttal than “the data is wrong”.

The guy is a fairly esteemed infectious disease guy at Hopkins
this should clear things up sir


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Old 03-12-2020, 04:29 PM   #6985
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

felt really weird at the gym this morning and left half way through my session. will be using my barbell and rack at home for the forseeable
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Old 03-12-2020, 04:29 PM   #6986
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***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

Did they ever cancel March madness because of the flu or swine flu or sars or anything else? Cause they just did for corona


But everything is fine....
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Old 03-12-2020, 04:37 PM   #6987
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

If errybody has to self quarantine for 2 weeks to a month, a new chat thread should start end of April. Assuming the internet still works.

Meanwhile back at the Roundup it seems to be business as usual.

It's weird though. I'm consciously not shaking hands even with people I know. Dapping is a thing and so far I haven't figured out how to pick my nose with my knuckles.

Actually think if this was scheduled for a week or two from now it would have been cancelled.


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Old 03-12-2020, 04:46 PM   #6988
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

disneyland just fcukking closed.
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Old 03-12-2020, 04:55 PM   #6989
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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disneyland just fcukking closed.


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Old 03-12-2020, 05:04 PM   #6990
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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disneyland just fcukking closed.


Forever I hope??
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Old 03-12-2020, 05:09 PM   #6991
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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Forever I hope??


March 14 - March 31
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Old 03-12-2020, 05:17 PM   #6992
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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March 14 - March 31


That's too bad. Was hoping forever was an option
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Old 03-12-2020, 05:36 PM   #6993
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

Give it time. They won't reopen if we're all dead.
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Old 03-12-2020, 05:39 PM   #6994
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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I'm in Ireland. So far, not on the restricted list, AFAICT, but the policies seem to be changing randomly every day.
Ummm...

Trump said he's suspended flights from Europe but apparently that just means they are making people make a pit stop in UK/Ireland before coming over.

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Would not shock me to see us hit the 3rd circuit breaker today. If so, lord knows what will happen tomorrow.
To the moooooooooooooon?

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Looks like capitulation, so perhaps the bottom is near.
It seems likely that coronavirus is going to hit US much harder than China so while I'm sure they will be bounces there is likely more downside to go. Also, some stocks are somehow still way overpriced.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic View Post
Remember that chump that snap offered Doug Polk 20 to 1? lol.
I nearly took him up on it as a hedge. Today I nearly pressed the buy button on OXY when it was 20% down. It ended in the positive on the day, smh. I suppose there are lots of things I nearly do.

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My buddy is going to try to buy the bottom of top airlines end of this month. He thinks two weeks until peak hysteria. Getting my popcorn ready. I might put in a smaller bet for the sweat.
Some of those airlines should go out of business. The government loves bailing out poorly run businesses though.
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Old 03-12-2020, 06:01 PM   #6995
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

Re the UK flight border staying open...I imagine it’ll be like what we did with China and Iran. Those citizens could fly to Aus via a country with an open border but they need to wait 14 days in that country before flying here
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Old 03-12-2020, 06:25 PM   #6996
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

Just got back from Frys/Kroger. Huge run on ice cream, no TP to be found, everyone stocking up on booze; but vegetables and flour are largely untouched.

Reminds me of the city rioters who pillage the groceries yet run right past the food.
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Old 03-12-2020, 06:35 PM   #6997
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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And yet every time **** falls on my toothbrush, the planet doesn’t shutdown.
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Old 03-12-2020, 07:27 PM   #6998
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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was looking forward to a rollicking zero hedge post. Disappointed obv, BAN.
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Old 03-12-2020, 07:28 PM   #6999
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

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Originally Posted by rickroll View Post
for what it's worth the data that guy is giving is wrong so I'd be very skeptical of anything else he says

Please elaborate.

Last edited by zoltan; 03-12-2020 at 07:29 PM. Reason: seriously, would like to see most current data thanks
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Old 03-12-2020, 07:48 PM   #7000
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re: ***"The Pen:" Official LLSNL Chat Thread***

Quote:
Originally Posted by DeadMoneyWalking View Post
Just got back from Frys/Kroger. Huge run on ice cream, no TP to be found, everyone stocking up on booze; but vegetables and flour are largely untouched.

Reminds me of the city rioters who pillage the groceries yet run right past the food.
similar scene in Tucson - plenty of food on the shelves no TP. Reminds me for some reason of a Fabulous Furry Freak Brothers quote:

"Dope will get you through times of no money better than money will get you through times of no dope."

For most of you have never heard of the FFFB's, that was one of the funniest comic zines of the 60's/70's.
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