Quote:
Originally Posted by GrandTheftOtto
I'd guess that KK is almost non-existant in V's range given preflop. Also, do you really believe this "tight", "thinking" V is going call/call/call against an EP open and three barrels with a rivered 2nd pair (JT)? That's optimistic. I think you're targeting KQ only.
He'd also be pretty crazy to try to bluff you in this spot. He probably raises the turn with 9x hands since the board is offering at least a few draws. That leaves him with only Q9dd, Q9hh, 99, QQ(super unlikely), 66, maybe TT(also a little unlikely) when he bets the river.
Think about it. He's not calling a river bet with worse, he's probably not bluffing busted draws, nor turning JT into a bluff(though one could argue that he should), he's raising the turn with his non full house 9x hands, so he's left with a super nutted river betting range.
Check/fold river, imo.
I hear you, but tight at a $1/$2 table is still not that tight really.
I am not changing what I said, but he is tight compared to others. He is still loose compared to me I suppose, because I am pretty nitty. The dudes solid, but I really think most live players are too dang loose.
And while he seems a solid player, I don't think it's out of the question he would try and bluff the river. Everyone else steps into the check-to-induce river play OOP. I think I use it quite a bit, and perhaps this is just not a good spot/opponent for that play.
However, that being said, I think maybe bet/fold river may be ok (as others suggested).
Check folding is also a viable option.