Quote:
Originally Posted by Snowball2
(Lets ignore the results for a second)
Would we take into consideration the size of the reraise? If he thinks we are trying to steal on the straddle with bs wouldnt he raise more, as min raise is pretty much getting a call?
Furthermore, why would he go all in otf in a dry sidepot, knowing his 67 is probably not good against the shortstack? ...
because most LLSNL have serious leaks in their game and they butcher poker concepts and during the execution they only are partly correct in their actions.
I see this all the time. Thinking player makes a move but doesn't do it in the right spot or in the right way and then compounds his mistakes in future actions.
This happens so often that I lose track.
One of the hardest aspects of this game is figuring out the nature of our villains leaks and mistakes and exploiting them without leveling ourselves by our own biases about what a "thinking" player (i.e. ourselves) would do.
Give you an example.
I remember once in a SATELLITE tournament we were down to 9 players, top 6 players get a seat... a short stack goes all-in for 2bb and 3 of us (all healthy in chips) call.
Flop(8bb) 8
2
2
V1 (donk) bets 8bb, we fold, V1 is heads up with short stack all-in
Turn/river (8bb) 4
/J
V1 shows 7
6
for the missed flush
All-in short stack wins with A3o
short stack proceeds to double up later and ends up getting a seat...
I remember my disbelief at how a player could be so stupid in that spot... but then I remember that 95% of the players out there have never heard of 2+2 and out of the 5% that have heard of 2+2, only 5% of that 5% are active members if that...
So my point basically is that even when players show signs of being a "thinking player" odds are that they still have significant leaks and will make mistakes.
these mistakes will almost always tend to be magnified whenever they are facing an atypical situation that is a bit out of the box, like a button straddle...