looks like a fold.
What I don´t like though is everybody jumping on the "tight-passive" label like it´s a foregone conclusion this guy we have only two vague hand histories with and probably saw playing around 100 hands is playing a stereotype style like we knew his game in and out.
If hero described villain as
"total fish. earlier, he was holding the nuts facing a shove, and seemed to be genuinely confused. He even tanked and made some strange comment before he finally called. Later, he was visibly tilted when he had JJ and saw two overcards flop. All in all, we got a passive vibe, but the guy really had no idea what he was doing."
I think if you wrote it like that in the OP and just left out the unholy "tight-passive" label, you would get different responses.
Against worse case scenario:
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
JsQs | 24.94% | 6,417 | 3 |
A3, 22, AA, KK, QQ | 75.06% | 19,320 | 3 |
just add in a few pairs, and as well some 34s, 35s which would not surprise me at all if they were in a button clickers range:
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
JsQs | 33.85% | 16,085 | 3 |
A3, 22, AA, KK, QQ, TT, 99, 88, 34s, 35s | 66.15% | 31,432 | 3 |
all of a sudden this gets pretty close.
summary:
I really don´t like the word "tight-passive" if we can´t really back it up with prolonged history.