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Preflop spot vs narrow range

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04-12-2017 , 10:10 AM

niceguy22

adept

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 824

Villain is probably a slightly losing player. He only raises to 15 with QQ-AA. Dont have a great read on him post flop but he seems to play pretty straight forward, and a little too sticky sometimes with top pair type hands. He makes large bets with his overpairs.

1/2,

Villain raises to 15 utg ($400)
Folds to hero otb with 9

($450

Hero calls or folds? Im basically NEVER going to try to make this villain fold his overpair, because hes a bit too sticky with them. Is this a profitable call? He does make 90% pot sized bets with his overpairs.

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04-12-2017 , 10:21 AM

mikko

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 2,863

Nah fold.

If he is gonna get stacks in 100%. Hard to pass up opportunity to stack him.

But we have alot better hands to do this with.

Get in there with suited Aces, and suited connectors. Let this 1 go.

Generally only getting good price to draw on 1 street. So hands that flop better are mandatory.

Suited connectors will flop straight draws more often, and suited Aces give is overcard alot.

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04-12-2017 , 10:42 AM

LongDTravis

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 360

I've won more big pots with 6-9 suited than any other hand in poker. When it flops well for straight potential, it is tough to put a two you on a two gapper. No one ever gives you credit when you flop trips either. If you put opponent on big pair, it is very tough for him to overflush you. I call here every time unless I see blinds with raising chips or something.

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04-12-2017 , 10:54 AM

Okilo

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 90

Fold

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04-12-2017 , 11:07 AM

Dubey

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,844

I think it's a call. Assuming Villain really has exactly QQ-AA will almost never fold his hand when you beat him.

You are getting 26-1 implied odds, and you are only about 18-1 to flop a hand better than AA (trips, 2-pair, quads, flush, straight). There are of course time where you out flop AA then get redrawn on to lose, but I think these will roughly be cancelled out by other profitable situations that could arise post flop (combo draws, 4-straight boards where you can bluff etc..)

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04-12-2017 , 11:09 AM

Meldras

centurion

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 118

Fold. If he's betting big with his overpairs, it's going to be very hard for you to continue with just a draw. The only time you're going to be able to continue is when you flop 2p+ or a combo draw, which doesn't happen enough to justify calling. I would only call with a pair to set mine.

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04-12-2017 , 11:31 AM

donkatruck

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 1,911

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikko

I think suited A-rag are not good. What are you doing if you flop A no two pair? If you are playing against this player, and he is exactly as described (i.e. will never fold overpair, and his range is limited to QQ-AA), I think suited connectors 56-JT only plus any PP are the only hands you want to play at this level. You either smash a flop that also misses his range or you whiff.

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04-12-2017 , 11:41 AM

mikko

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 2,863

Quote:

Originally Posted by donkatruck

Ace is valuable card when calling 3 bets from face up range.

If ace hits flop. He has exactly 1 hand that contains an Ace.

If he is also raising AK. We can adjust our calling range. But that isn't case here.

A2-5 suited has 30% equity vs QQ+.

And plays very easy postflop. And realizes the majority of its equity.

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