Quote:
Originally Posted by atsuss33
Sorry.....still getting used to this.
Btw = btn (button)
V is in HJ.
Callers are in EP & MP.
V has been limping in a lot of pots. Has not raised often though.
So what kind of hands do you think he could be on here? Considering that he was willing to put in a rare, timid pfr? Whatever it is, he sure liked it on the flop, maybe less so on the turn.
I discount aces, nobody is that timid. (Pre, maybe. But no AA ever checks this turn.)
I would include any other overpair, 77 to KK, weighted toward the bigger end because he's so passive. Passive cally players tend to hate laying down what is, in their eyes, "top pair." That's good for you if he's on 99, although with that turn card, you're really cutting down on the number of pairs you beat, right?
Also, I think suited broadways like AhQh or even AhKh are in his range. This is good for you. (That's just my opinion and you might disagree. RayZee makes a good point. But people who limp and call a lot are usually looking to get lucky with a big hand, and they love those flush draws.)
He would probably check/call 77 on the turn.
People like this tend to come out firing if they make a good hand, so 88 seems unlikely to me. (But watch out if a flush card hits on the river and he comes out with a big bet.)
Finally, ask yourself whether he ever folds if you bet on the turn. (I would suggest, pretty much never).
I personally think there are more draws out there, that we can make money off of, than there are pairs that beat us.
If you agree, bet turn. If you disagree, check behind and try to get to showdown as cheaply as possible.