Quote:
Originally Posted by samo
Most NL hands do not get to SD. Given that, a solid strategy would be to bet larger early (pre and flop) because opponents tend to fold when the action gets heavier on turn / river.
We're going to have a hand ~33% of all flops, why are you trying to build large pots OOP?
Quote:
Originally Posted by samo
When our 3bet caller has AK/JJ, 22 combos, we may get incremental value when they float AK. We also have stronger FE vs. JJ, i.e. they may call a $25 c-bet but fold to $45. Again, the Hero is early into the session.
Our range isn't only TT. There are many times we want JJ to call. What happens when we have AQ/AA here? JJ folding is a disaster. If your overall strategy is to bet smaller, then the times we have AK/AJ/TT, we get away from the hand cheaper and the many less times we have AQ/AA/KK, we keep them in the hand.
Quote:
Originally Posted by samo
There are 18 combos of AQ/77/55, which Hero would lose an incrementally higher amount on larger sizing. On mid-pair hands the sizing is inelastic, they are folding.
so Vs are folding 99 and 88 but calling JJ? They're effectively the same hand. 88 is actually a better hand vs {KK+, AQ} because it has more backdoor equity!
Quote:
Originally Posted by samo
Given the edge in number of combos, I’m opting for incremental value early.
Money is made in LLSNL by our opponents making mistakes. Betting larger earlier allows them to fold hands that were ahead of and call hands that we're behind. Also, Vs tend to play every street worse than the previous, so why are we forcing them out on the cheaper betting rounds?
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Ultimately, it seems to me that a lot of people don't know why they are betting what they are betting, they just do it because "it's standard." Those that have general reasons for betting certain amounts don't seem to mathematically understand why they're doing it.