While I'm not all that comfortable with the turn spot, I think the turn it is still too early to fold. There is still too much chance that this is SB vs BB "I won't chop" deep stack violence and in any case we have significant blockers!
Unless he has exactly T
T
or J
J
(only two combos) he has definitely played this hand funky at some point. JT and KT are a bit risky to raise on the flop when AQ got there, I largely discount KK (he would have had more of a decision preflop) and its not like he just went from having broadway on the flop to having a boat on the turn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by shorn7
He seems committed to follow through on the river with a shove so your decision on turn if actually for $620 and not $200.
I think that there will often be a proportion of his hands that he will slow down with on the river (either check back or bet half pot or less). I think that range might look something like this:
AK,AQ,KQ,KJ,QhTh,Ah9h,Ah8h,Ah7h,Ah6h,Ah5h,Ah4h,Ah3 h,Ah2h
We still don't know how much of a baller this guy is and in my experience it's just not that easy for them to bluff jam the river without a boat.