Quote:
Originally Posted by hitchens97
Actually they all might have, especially KK and QQ which are the second and third nuts.
Even KK is likely to fold on the flop if it goes Bet call call in front of him. What does KK hope to beat that can cold call third to act on this board? What can KK hope to improve to to win? Even if turn and river are KK, he is still beat by AJ.
And remember, on the river it went raise call call call. So AJ got 6 bets out of these weak players. He would never have gotten six bets on the flop. So he would have to be pretty confident the KK would call a double bet on turn or river to make up for the two or three bets that would have folded to his flop bet.
Of course position is key. If AJ is first to act he has to check the flop. If AJ is last to act, he could likely make a small bet which looks like an attempt to steal. But even then will the first or second position players want to call knowing they could get squeezed with a check raise by the middle player who might bluff after they show weakness by check calling. Often not.
This example really illustrates the importance of position in multi-way pots. Those in the middle cannot hope to conceal the strength of their good hands and they cannot get show-down value out of their weak made hands. This is a whole other discussion. But if the first position player bets big and the second position player cold calls, he likely has the nuts and late position players should generally fold. If one of the late position players ends up having the nuts, they should raise to value bet the middle position player. I am not explaining this well here. Will save this discussion for another day.