Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Being up against the case 5 is pretty much the lone reason for attempting to get in 4 streets worth of betting.
Expecting to get called for 4 streets by Ace high / pairs (plus somehow thinking that you're up against opponents who don't realize underpairs have been counterfeited) at a table that has seen 1 showdown in 3 orbits seems ambitious.
GimoG
Sure. I’m not disagreeing, we can be beat here if our opponent has some tricky to him. And obv there’s the consideration that we can see 3 of the 5’s but only 2 of the 8’s.
But in general, very few players are capable of taking a big hand and playing it passively in order to get you to value cut or bluff too often.
Think about it, what’s a common weakness of live 1/2 players? Usually not betting the river often enough, as a bluff and especially for value. So instinctually, these guys don’t check their monsters OOP to induce a bluff or a thin value bet, because too often, the other guy just checks it back.
So when he doesn’t bet at any point, we have to start discounting 8x hands. Plus you never know when he’ll get heroic with a hand like 99 here. Hence why I think bet folding is pretty clearly a superior line
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