PAHWM 66 otb 200 bbs+ 5/10
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,999
make it $380 on the flop and check back turns.
He still may call with AK/AQ, gets him to just call with overpairs and we see Turn/River.
Doubt villain shoves, if he does, its a fold.
Join Date: Aug 2014
Posts: 897
I don't think villain is 3! AQo and I don't think villain is cbetting this board with AK. I do think if we put in some type of raise on the flop that villain will call with his entire range though allowing us to get to the river to realize our equity. Someone I respect a ton said the same thing and although I don't think villain is folding it does let us realize our equity for s great price. Only upside to maybe raising ott is to foldout QQ/JJ.
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 195
so....many... acronyms......
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 632
Call turn. Speech seems genuine and you are probably behind at this point. However, I think there is enough implied odds assuming V covers you to cooler him with a 2 (i think he stacks off with AA/AK on 2345) and possibly even a 7 as it would be hard to range you on a straight. You have 10 outs (66, 7777, 2222) and all of them might win you a big river bet. With his small sizing on the turn he's allowing you to do this.
Join Date: Oct 2015
Posts: 632
Pre seems like slam dunk call, same with the flop. You're ahead of some of his c-bets (AK, AQs perhaps) and don't really want to raise, especially in position and get blown off our equity vs. a guy who likely would not fold a better hand.