Just to add a voice of dissent, I'll say that I can see a call here with reads, putting him specifically on 88-TT.
First things first, from your OP it sounds like you think this guy may have a spaz factor. That's definitely a precondition to even consider a call.
Here are the questions I'd be asking myself: Is this player a capable enough hand reader to recognize that your hand looks a lot like TT-QQ after your turn check back? Is there a chance this player is button-clicking preflop with 88/99? Is there a chance he was also button clicking on the flop with 88/99 when he failed to c-bet? Is there a chance that your very small flop bet induced him to make a thin value 3bet with 88-TT?
If the answers to all the above questions are "possibly", I still might not make this call. It's simply too unlikely that all of these outcomes -- each of which might occur 50% of the time for argument's sake -- occur simultaneously.
However, this river jam seems a bit suspicious. If he does put you on TT-QQ, would he really take this sizing with AA/KK,A
K
? If you have a read that he generally doesn't bet huge with monster value, I can see a call here with QQ, putting him specifically on 88/99 (and to a lesser extent TT).
Last edited by ChaosInEquilibrium; 02-28-2020 at 12:51 PM.