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PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB

01-06-2014 , 10:03 PM
^those, easy flat.

If utg jams, I'm not folding.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-06-2014 , 10:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spikeraw22
Well he's leading out into a scare card and two callers. That tells me the K doesn't hurt him. I'm just calling to hit one of my many draws and hopefully bring the other player along too. You only need to make up another $20 to make this break even and if UTG calls behind you, that's already accomplished.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-06-2014 , 11:06 PM
Trivial call. You have way to many outs to fold but you probably need to hit something to win. The situation if UTG shoves would take some math, and depends on what SB does. Pot odds are likely to look good but hero could be drawing very thin if he is facing a set/two pair and a big draw.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-06-2014 , 11:54 PM
Call flop. Call turn. Shoulda raised pre.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 12:13 AM
Call turn. So far very little interesting in this hand
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 12:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator
Welp... limping has resulted with a TPMK hand on a medium texture board, but we're OOP and 4 ways. Now that we've hit on the flop, we're going to wish we'd put in a raise pre.
So you can play a bigger pot OOP with TP3K instead of a smaller one? Great logic...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator
If we just flat here, we're going to see the turn 4 ways.

Ima, raise/fold here and try to take it down. It's going to take a bit of an overbet, but that's ok since we're quite unlikely to be raised back.
Yes let's turn a hand with great showdown value (and good backdoor potential) into a bluff and make worse hands fold. Great logic again.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator
Welpf we're not willing to raise here, then I'm just going to fold since we probably were not playing QJs to flop 1-pair OOP.
Lol dear lord you are awful.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 12:37 AM
Call again. Nothing interesting so far.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 01:10 AM
i'm bored
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 02:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator
Well a few reasons.

1) There is a really good chance that the board will get scary and we'll have to fold anyway due to position.

2) While we do have SDV, methinks our RIO is bigger.

3) Sure, we're ahead of individual ranges that will overcall. However, IMO this hand will almost certainly go 4 ways to the turn if we let it. Now our equity doesn't look so good. And since we're OOP, sniffing out when we get behind is going to be tough.
this. im generally not a fan of raising TPGK into multiple players but i think here you have to. you almost certainly have the best hand now but if multiple players call behind, you will likely lose the hand and possibly even get bluffed on a later street. if they all fold, its still a win.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 02:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Garick
Grunching flop:

Call. Raising is overplaying our hand, and board is pretty dry. QT is only decent draw on this board, and we're unlikly to be able to deny it odds anyway, with SB likely calling a raise. Unless board significantly changes our relative hand strength or action gets cray, Ima keep calling and own SB's JT.
the thing is T8 is another hand we're afraid of. thats 28 combos of open enders possible. if we flat we allow multiple villains to stay in 9x and gut shots and then we're left guessing on later streets against multiple players. against 1 or 2 players, you should flat here, but with that many people i think a raise is in order
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 02:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bwslim69
God this makes my brain hurts. Do you really believe this stuff or are you just clicking buttons on your internet machine?



On Point 1- I don't really even know what this means. Are you saying we might have to fold future streets...I mean sure, yeah I guess that is always possible and we are allowed to call 1 street then fold later

On Point 2- We have SDV but we have RIO...so let's raise! Does not compute sir.

On Point 3-Your point is that it may get hard to play our hand later so let's raisy, daisy?

I mean this whole post reeks of "raising to find out where we are at". I hope that I am not reading it properly.
point 1- any ace, king, 9, 7, 8 or even gut shots is bad for us.

point 2-he's saying that we likely have the best hand but that even if we hit a Q, someone could have KT or T8. even if we hit another jack, someone could boat up. by raising flop, we get value from draws and can safely fold to a reraise against two pairs+.

point 3-this hand is going to be hard to play regardless espeically OOP. we're likely ahead now, but with a bet and 2 calls behind us, we will likely get outdrawn.


there are merits to raising or flatting. i think either is fine
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 02:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by slimshady1999
this. im generally not a fan of raising TPGK into multiple players but i think here you have to. you almost certainly have the best hand now but if multiple players call behind, you will likely lose the hand and possibly even get bluffed on a later street. if they all fold, its still a win.
we're playing to win money, not to win as many pots as possible

they aren't always calling behind, and even if they are 100% to do so, being likely to lose is not a reason to raise when calling gives us the odds that this "bad situation you want to avoid" gives us
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 08:33 AM
ok, sorry people are saying hand isn't interesting, I thought it was generating some decent discussion. I'll get on with it.

Hero calls $20. UTG raises to $60. SB tank folds. Hero asks for a count of what he has behind, it's $49.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 08:54 AM
Hand is not interesting at all. Even if he has exactly QT here which is slightly unlikely because you have a Q also, you have 22% equity and need something like 26% or 27% equity which I think he will also raise two pair then your T is also good as an out. so I **** it call and expect him to never fold on the river if I hit, also the fact that I can potentially make my stack bigger for future pots makes this +EV ainec.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 09:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mtagliaf
ok, sorry people are saying hand isn't interesting, I thought it was generating some decent discussion. I'll get on with it.
Preflop was interesting because you can make a good case for both flatting and raising. After that it has been pure call down and see if you hit territory. Hand is too good to fold but not good enough to raise. You moved from hoping to get heads up with SB to targeting both when your hand improved to a fairly big draw on turn, but that doesn't change the right play.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mtagliaf
Hero calls $20. UTG raises to $60. SB tank folds. Hero asks for a count of what he has behind, it's $49.
Looks like $40 to win $132. Getting those kind of odds your draw is still to good to fold but there is no point in putting him in now either. You have exactly 0 FE, and you still need to hit something to win. He might fold if the flush comes in, but the money should go in if you improve any other way. Of course, you won't have close to the nuts if you improve any other way, but I'm figuring the straight is unlikely here and catching two pair/trips is enough of a toss up that you can't possibly fold with those pot odds.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 10:38 AM
I'm guessing river is As, villain is openjamming and OP youre going to ask us whether or not to call. Come on OP

Edit: turn is pretty interesting though, utg probably never bluffs though your flush and straightdraws are most likely live. I didn't do the maths but its probably a fold, in game i (when tilted) do flat here sometimes and bink rivers

Last edited by Barbra Streisand; 01-07-2014 at 10:48 AM.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 02:05 PM
How is this a fold? We have to assume the rest is going in on the river no matter what. If a spade hits, you'll almost always see these guys grumble about their bad luck as they slide the rest of their chips in. Right now it's $40 to win $132. V's stack is >$28, and you have the luxury of check folding a brick river. There is a small chance that a flush is RIO and a straight is a chop, but I think that's offset by 2p, trips, and the J winning unimproved to be a wash without doing some serious math.

If nothing else, showing down your hand will be good for your gambooly image in what is likely a pretty neutral spot.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 02:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mtagliaf
ok, sorry people are saying hand isn't interesting, I thought it was generating some decent discussion. I'll get on with it.

Hero calls $20. UTG raises to $60. SB tank folds. Hero asks for a count of what he has behind, it's $49.
I think it's interesting because of how it's turning out and the possible action behind. As you can tell from the comments, there's plenty of disagreement on the proper line here.

Now we have an interesting spot, imo. The call is standard, then we have the unexpected. I don't completely agree with QuadJ that we have zero FE here, but I don't think we need necessarily need any FE. Based on your read from the OP, I can see him being polarized at least part of the time. Combining his air vs our pair/12 outs, calling is +EV. I might even convince myself that I'm already ahead and shove to avoid RIO when our spade does hit.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 03:05 PM
If we were deep, this would have been fairly interesting as it opens up more debate.
So far, so good. You can call
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 03:33 PM
Just call, villain never folds river even if everything gets there, so it is very close to +EV if behind. If our spade draw is beat, he isn't folding to a turn shove as stated above.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 03:46 PM
it's not interesting at all, just shove and get the monies in and make sure you top off when you don't bink

congratulate UTG on a hand well played and move on
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 03:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by attentionnoone
it's not interesting at all, just shove and get the monies in and make sure you top off when you don't bink

congratulate UTG on a hand well played and move on
What does shoving accomplish? What advantage does it give you over calling? This is autopilot thinking and not good.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 03:52 PM
Quote:
I might even convince myself that I'm already ahead and shove to avoid RIO when our spade does hit.
lol at folding any river, we are ahead of a lot of hands and guys who got 120 in front of them will fold sometimes

i'm super excited to gii here, if he doubles up it makes the game better and you'll win it back, just make sure you have 25-50BI's in the tank
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 05:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spikeraw22
What does shoving accomplish? What advantage does it give you over calling? This is autopilot thinking and not good.
I'm not against either a shove or a call here, but here are my thoughts on the benefits of shoving...I'd love your input because this may be a big leak in my game. Shoving maximizes what micro amount of FE we have (if any). What river card has to hit that we're not calling $49 getting 3.5:1? There are a ton of cards that I would certainly call OTR...any spade/K/Q/J are snap called and any rag seems reasonable. If we're beat when those hit I'm calling it a cooler and moving on. If he's capable of folding any spade or counterfeited two pair, I'd rather shove now and remove RIO.

Quote:
Originally Posted by attentionnoone
lol at folding any river, we are ahead of a lot of hands and guys who got 120 in front of them will fold sometimes

i'm super excited to gii here, if he doubles up it makes the game better and you'll win it back, just make sure you have 25-50BI's in the tank
I never advocated folding OTR.
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote
01-07-2014 , 06:45 PM
How about a range for SB when he leads the turn?

How about a range for UTG when he raises, but does not shove, the turn?
PAHWM: 1-2, QJs in the BB Quote

      
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