V is a gambly rec playing a very wide range. He’s straddling 2-3 hands an orbit, has shown some smaller bluffs but with one exception his big raises have been value. His one bluff raise was in a different type of spot. He made it $30 with AK after a few people limped and he got two calls from the limpers. A whale shoved a Qs5c3c board for $60 with air, the rec made it $250 with AKhh and the other limper folded. He ended up winning with A high.

In terms of over valuing hands I saw him call off a very large raise with just a Q against a nit on 9TJK. The nit had AQ but in fairness to the rec it was a limped pot. I also saw him bet $50 into $25 on 987r with J9.

I would guess the relevant part of his preflop range in this hand includes Q5s+ Q9o+ J9/KJ AQ/KQ, TT, 66, 64s-96s, K6/A6s 65o-86o A6o.

Hero should be perceived as pretty tight pre since I’ve been card dead. I did show down two double barrels with air but they were much smaller spots and this is over the course of 6 hours.

H$470, Main V covers.

OTTH:

V straddles UTG, H$25 with KK+1, button nit calls, short stacked whale calls the sb, and the straddle calls.

Pot: $98.

Flop:QT6r.

H$65, just the rec calls.

Pot: 228.

Turn 6r.

H $135, V raises putting me all in for $380 total.

So I need 25% or so to call it off here.

He has about 48 value combos that I’m down to two outs against assuming he 3 bets QQ and doesn’t 3 bet TT.

To call I need him to have at least all combos of J9 or full combos of AQ and 1/4 combos of J9. There are obviously other possible hands I beat like KJ,KQ, etc but those are just two examples.

Potting the flop vs these kind of players. With the read on villain I'm snapping this turn he could wake up with tons of hands. If he has a 6 it's whatever but that's why we blast pre and flop against these guys.

Snap..

Annoying spot. Has to be pretty close to a fold but I don't really want to fold for this price when he can have AQ, KQ and QT before we get into bluffs at all.