Table is a mix of regfish, loose passives, and LAGs, plus a couple young unknowns who just sat down but look like donks (they're clearly friends as they're talking to each other since they sat down). Table seems pretty weak so far but I've been there less than an hour.
Live at Winstar $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
MP2: $200.00
CO: $200.00
Hero (BTN): $200.00
SB: $200.00
BB: $200.00
UTG: $200.00
UTG+1: $200.00
UTG+2: $200.00
MP1: $200.00
Pre Flop: ($2.00) Hero is BTN with T
T
UTG calls $2,
1 fold, UTG+2 calls $2,
1 fold, MP2 calls $2, CO calls $2,
Hero raises to $15, SB calls $14,
5 folds
Flop: ($39.00) J
6
4
(2 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $25, SB calls $25
Turn: ($89.00) 9
(2 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $60, SB calls $60
River: ($214.00) 2
(2 players)
SB bets $100 all in, Hero ?
Villain is one of the unknowns who just sat down. I think this is the second hand villain was dealt, so I have no read on him aside from appearance and some very bizarre behavior. As soon as it gets heads up, he turns 90 degrees to face me, leans in, and stares, without blinking once, into my eyes until clock is called. He does this the ENTIRE HAND. Frankly I did not know what to make of this behavior.
Most players at Winstar play very straightforwardly here, checking their drawing hands. Some also take this line with their monster hands. Without knowing what kind of player he is, putting him on a range is difficult, but most players at Winstar would have something like this on the flop: {99-44, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J8s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 53s+, AJo, A6o, A4o, KJo, QJo, 87o, 76o}.
There are quite a few J combos that are ahead, as well as 44 and 66 which crush us. However, I think there are far more hearts and straight draws in his range, plus some weak made hands like A6o and A4o that might call down trying to hit two pair.
The problem of course is when he shoves. He did his tanking and staring thing before he shoved. At this point I think we are behind, as he's probably not shoving his busted draws. But some players are capable of bluffing here. The previous day I had encountered two people who took this line, one with Ace high and one with bottom pair. So I'm really bewildered as to what he could have. Seems strange to check his TP hands, also 44 and 66, but I don't expect these guys to play rationally. And his staredown routine makes me think he could be weak and trying to intimidate me.
I don't know. So, several questions.
A) How common is this check-call check-call shove line, and is it usually strong or weak?
B) Does this kind of staredown intimidation thing indicate strength or weakness?
C) What do you make of his range on the river shove?
D) Is my play fine up to the river?
E) Figuring I'm likely beat, do I make a crying call for the rest of my stack, knowing I need to be good less than 25% of the time, or sheepishly fold?