johnny -- awesome, and thanks for sharing your stats in detail. Always interesting to see.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeamKB
Two questions:
1. Is there much value in tracking +/- on an hourly basis rather than on a session basis? How interesting/valuable would this info be over a long run period of 1000-1200 hours? Enough to be worth the extra mental effort and book keeping?
2. Is there a minimum threshold for winrate at 1/2 that you'd expect someone to achieve after 1000-1200 hours, below which you'd say "you probably aren't ready for 2/5"? If so, what is that?
KB -- 1. I don't think there is enough value to justify it. Sure your hourly standard deviation would be a bit more accurate, and your graph would look smoother, but so what? Your winnings would be the same.
One piece of information I would find interesting is your winrate by hour of the session -- is it actually worth playing way longer than usual or do you just end up spewing? But you wouldn't be able to gather enough data to find out.
And one downside is that if you are checking how much you are up or down every hour you are probably worrying too much about p&l. I prefer not to find out how much I won or lost until I get home, which might be too extreme the other way, but the point is if you're thinking about being up or down at the table it's probably affecting you in a bad way.
2. No because maybe the 2/5 in your location is super juicy and you'd be crazy not to play it. Or maybe the 2/5 in your location is awful and you should stick to 1/2 even if you're crushing it. If you want to know, put up a minbuy, sit down and watch. You don't have to "play poker" to see the game. Actually, you literally don't have to play poker, but railbirding a 2/5 table for an hour might get you some weird looks.
Probably don't move up if you're struggling at 1/2. If you think you know how to play however, there isn't a magic number, you have to figure it out yourself somehow.
Me -- I want to play more poker next year. I really took it easy in 2015, which is fine, but I want to make some money while I'm still ahead of the game. And staying ahead is probably easier than catching up.
My goal for 2015 was simply to stay in my happy place. Play games I'm comfortable in, not worry about moving up and playing the 'big game', not force myself to grind, just play when I feel like it and feel good playing and not feel like hell tilting off a bunch of money and feeling like it's work. I failed a few times but I think on the year I can give myself a "satisfactory" in that regard