Quote:
Originally Posted by OmahaDonk
Raise small as a bluff?
I'm a bit perplexed too. Why are we bluffing with top pair garbage kicker on this run out? Both flushes missed, the ace doesn't really help any straights. It's hard for UTG2 to have 2P here. AJss (and maybe some A5s?) is all I can think of.
We are sweating a bit of A-broadway in clubs that floated, tanked turn hoping to catch clubs, and is now block-betting hoping the maniac will let them table their TP. Bluffing with the best hand, basically. So we can't just call, if we think that's a significant part of V's range.
With H's image, shipping river might get looked up, right? It's only a 1,000 after a 325 V bet though. And min-clicking tends to goad people to at least call, right?
I guess the math question to answer is: does enough of V's range have A-better kicker in it that we should ship vs calling behind? I thought fold at first too, but we only have to be better 20% of the time. (Edit) Or, are we actually losing more than 80% of the time, and the times we get V to fold, even with our image, outweigh calling, and outweigh sticking another 1,000 in the pot?