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Old 03-16-2019, 01:38 PM   #342201
Avaritia
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

I guess I am a slow pony. What is one wheeling?

Edit: nvm if skateboard. I was picturing some kind of crazy unicycle/kite surfing combo.
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Old 03-16-2019, 01:43 PM   #342202
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Tryna buy a dirt bike but APD's mom said I cant keep it in their garage.
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Old 03-16-2019, 01:53 PM   #342203
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Quote:
Originally Posted by bwslim69 View Post
Political ban IMO
Which one hit you in the feels the most?
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Old 03-16-2019, 01:56 PM   #342204
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Can't believe someone thought this was a good idea:
https://www-m.cnn.com/2019/03/16/us/...ery/index.html
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Old 03-16-2019, 01:58 PM   #342205
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

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Originally Posted by Avaritia View Post
I guess I am a slow pony. What is one wheeling?

Edit: nvm if skateboard. I was picturing some kind of crazy unicycle/kite surfing combo.
I rode one in the mountains. Epic falling.

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Tryna buy a dirt bike but APD's mom said I cant keep it in their garage.
She said the dirt bike was fine. It was your my little pony collection she wanted nothing to do with.
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Old 03-16-2019, 02:37 PM   #342206
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

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Originally Posted by SABR42 View Post
It's true.

This is why I'm essentially calling BS on anyone claiming to win at 10bb/hr at $5/10 and higher. Sure they might do it over a year or even two (because you can definitely run bad for that long as well), but it's not their EV. There just isn't that much dead money to go around.
Wait, what? You’re claiming BS on anyone who says he’s making $50/hr+ long term at 5/10?
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Old 03-16-2019, 02:44 PM   #342207
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Might want to try again there.
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Old 03-16-2019, 02:49 PM   #342208
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

$100/hr?
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Old 03-16-2019, 03:02 PM   #342209
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Maff iz hurd
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Old 03-16-2019, 03:08 PM   #342210
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Quote:
Originally Posted by XtraScratch8 View Post
Any MLB fans/sportsbetters out there?
I’m finding it hard to believe the Red Sox, Yankees AND Astros won’t all win 100+ games this year. Would it ever be worth betting a team like the Astros every single game of the year if you think they’re a lock for 100 wins? There’s no real lock way to figure that out, is there?
Winning 100+ games in MLB is pretty damn hard to do, and teams that do it usually needed to "run good" at least somewhat do it, that's why projection systems rarely outright project a team to win 100+ games. There are some exceptions to the rule and true juggernauts exist, but they are the exception.

I wouldn't bet on the Astros to win 100+ this season. Their starting pitching was historically great last year, and it's unlikely they can keep this up. Verlander can't pitch like this forever, and they lost Keuchel and Morton who were both pretty decent. Altuve isn't getting any younger.

Red Sox were dominant last season but also kinda ran above expectation and can't project Betts for 10 WAR again, for example. The Yankees I kinda like and see some potential improvement from a lot of their players because their core is the youngest among the 3 teams mentioned.

It's very likely that someone here will win 100 games, and possibly all 3, but I'd bet the under on all 3, ainec.
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Old 03-16-2019, 03:10 PM   #342211
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

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Originally Posted by AcePlayerDeluxe View Post
Which one hit you in the feels the most?
Don't care
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Old 03-16-2019, 03:34 PM   #342212
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Quote:
Originally Posted by XtraScratch8 View Post
Any MLB fans/sportsbetters out there?
I’m finding it hard to believe the Red Sox, Yankees AND Astros won’t all win 100+ games this year. Would it ever be worth betting a team like the Astros every single game of the year if you think they’re a lock for 100 wins? There’s no real lock way to figure that out, is there?
Betting them every single game would be cool if they were even odds, but there is this pesky little thing called the spread. It is quite possible you bet them every game and they win 100+ and you still end up a net loser.
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Old 03-16-2019, 04:35 PM   #342213
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Right, I kinda figured that’d be the case. I just wasn’t sure what kind of odds they offer game to game. I have a friend who took the Red Sox even money to go over 94.5 wins and a bit better than even money to win the East, which both seem like good bets to me. It’s basically Sox against the Yankees this year so slightly better than even money seems worth it.

I forgot that the Astros lost Kuechel SABR, but I honestly think their team is that much better than everyone in their division that it won’t matter. Verlander is due to hit a wall soon too though, you’re right.
As for Betts, don’t be surprised if he’s just as good. He’ll be a top 5 player in the whole league another 5-7 years unless he has a bad injury.

Two of the three make it to 100 wins I think. The AL is gonna be super top heavy this year. NL will be more interesting for sure.
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Old 03-16-2019, 04:42 PM   #342214
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Squid if he had an engineering background imo

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Old 03-16-2019, 04:43 PM   #342215
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

I'd be shocked if the Astros didn't win their division but it won't take 100 wins to do that. I agree that Betts is a top player, that's why all the projections only have him behind Trout iirc. He's freakishly athletic and doesn't have any weaknesses, but you don't project anyone for 10 WAR basically.
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Old 03-16-2019, 05:41 PM   #342216
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Are they the same people who go shopping at Kroger's?

Quote:
Originally Posted by 4_4 View Post
It's fun for you now?

You're the one defining success for you. You could ask yourself where your goals are coming from and if they're rational. Your goal could be how much can I save in a year traveling the country only playing 2 5. Or, it could be not letting bad results bother you (You already know you're an expert at poker, so you could develop a mood scoring system for yourself and congratulate yourself when you have completely unlocked yourself from your results)

Anyway, you do have control over this. One of the mind tricks that can work is to think about what advice you'd give yourself. Or, what would a 10 years older version of yourself, with the same bank balance, say to you.
and what you want on your gravestone.

Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick View Post
I'm something of an outsider here but . . .
and yet...

Skip was expecting

Spoiler:


Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluegrassplayer View Post
I think the fact that 22 year old college students want to spend spring break with their dad (or their girlfriend's dad) speaks volumes.
U NO Lifetime Movie!?
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Old 03-16-2019, 06:06 PM   #342217
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

holy sht ava that jet pack is ossum!!!
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Old 03-16-2019, 07:03 PM   #342218
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Heh yea I immediately thought of you when I saw that vid. Guy is super chill and just made a zillion prototypes and used himself as a human test subject.

I love it.
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Old 03-17-2019, 01:05 AM   #342219
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Quote:
Originally Posted by Avaritia View Post
Squid if he had an engineering background imo

Pretty damn legit. Have you met Squid?
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Old 03-17-2019, 02:29 AM   #342220
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Quote:
Originally Posted by SABR42 View Post
I'd be shocked if the Astros didn't win their division but it won't take 100 wins to do that. I agree that Betts is a top player, that's why all the projections only have him behind Trout iirc. He's freakishly athletic and doesn't have any weaknesses, but you don't project anyone for 10 WAR basically.
Nah, not 10. But him in Fenway healthy, 8 is a pretty fair expectation.
They’re totally stacked too, it’s not just him.
You could take a number 7 or 8 hitter on the Yankees or Sox and they’d be a top 3-4 hitter on any other team in the division. It’s been a long time since the AL was this top heavy. Decades.
Baltimore might lose 100+, Jays will be lucky to win much more than 70.
Rays were better than they should be last year too.
I know more about the East than the West I admit.

I ran shockingly bad tonight. Like cursed bad.
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Old 03-17-2019, 02:44 AM   #342221
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Yeah 8 WAR for Betts is fair. Baltimore I'll be shocked if they lose fewer than 100 games. The Rays are pretty good.
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Old 03-17-2019, 09:29 AM   #342222
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Happy St. Patrick's Day, degens!
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Old 03-17-2019, 10:12 AM   #342223
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Happy St Patrick's day folks.

Beautiful morning on the mountain with blue bird skies and sunshine. Perfect day for skiing.
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Old 03-17-2019, 10:23 AM   #342224
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Whats up fishzes in the chat thread. In case you missed me, i am dropping by to say hi Hope everyone had a good weekend, and a special good luck wish to SABR fighting his depression issues- wich i can relate alot too from my own life and challenges over the last 10 years pretty much.

Have been reading/lurking alot in many threads, even though i havent had the desire to post much myself for a while. Lots of good posts, both life strat in this thread-and some good poker strat/reminders too in other threads.
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Old 03-17-2019, 10:27 AM   #342225
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Re: ***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***

Quote:
Originally Posted by Petrucci View Post
Whats up fishzes in the chat thread. In case you missed me, i am dropping by to say hi Hope everyone had a good weekend, and a special good luck wish to SABR fighting his depression issues- wich i can relate alot too from my own life and challenges over the last 10 years pretty much.

Have been reading/lurking alot in many threads, even though i havent had the desire to post much myself for a while. Lots of good posts, both life strat in this thread-and some good poker strat/reminders too in other threads.
I missed you often brother!

Spoiler:
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