This might be threadworthy idk.
V1: Tight early 20s male. Plays premiums only. Seems solid enough but might be too tight as I've seen him lay down monsters multiple times (Not sure if correctly or not). We've talked a little bit and I believe he also views me as a solid player as we haven't played a hand together in the multiple hours we've been at the table together. We have joked about always missing with AK which stupidly factors into this hand.
V2: Likes to limp and call raises pre to see a flop. Not really a factor here.
Pre: 7 handed. V2 limps MP. Folds to me in the SB with A
A
. Raise to 12. V1 in the BB had his chips knocked over by the dealer and takes a long time to think and just calls. V2 also calls.
Flop: Q
8
3
Hero bets 25, V1 takes his time again and just calls. V2 folds.
Right now I'm thinking his range is AQ, QQ, 88, A
K
with a small chance of KQ or JJ and a tiny chance of 33. I've seen him flat with QQ pre before and I think he would 3bet KK but not entirely sure how he would play it against me.
Turn: 4
This card doesn't improve either of our hands, we both know this. I check trying to make it look like I missed with AK again as I've played it that way before and pretty sure he knows that. He takes his time again and checks as well.
It seems really nitty and against the majority of opponents I would keep firing but I honestly don't think I'm ahead of this particular player's range enough of the time here to justify betting the turn and risking bloating the pot. I also think he might fold AQ to a second barrel so hopefully I can bet the river making it look like a steal and get my value there. A counter would be giving a free card to a flush draw.
River: 4
Not sure what to do here. Do I check and hope he bets his bare queens and missed flush draw (unlikely as it is) and just call? Also risk him checking back and losing value or making a big bet and having to make a tough decision. I'm leaning towards check calling here but I'd like to hear your thoughts on all streets.
I'm going to put the river action in spoilers without the results: