Quote:
Originally Posted by sixsevenoff
Good to see you. How have you been?
Why aren't you 3 betting the flop? Going off of the logic for why you'd x-r turn - wouldn't you also be concerned about turn going x-x, and not playing for stacks?
I've been okay, going a little bit nuts tbh. NJ online games have been good for most of the last couple months, I started off 25-100NL, now i'm at 100-500NL when the games are good, so I figure I can play 2/5 or maybe even 5/T when live poker's back.
If turn goes check/check, they couldn't have played for stacks anyways. Only real risk of turn going check/check is if they have a straight draw, but on a turn checkback I'm going to be cautious on straightening rivers. If they check back and river bricks off you can go nearly PSB for value, they'll have Ax and have to call pretty much. I sometime mix in a 1.5x-2x PSB here on the river -- their hand is so transparent they're going to feel compelled to call.
I agree that the x/r is going to seem pretty strong, but we have #2 in a spot where it's really unlikely they have #1. They can have 888 or AQ or A8 or whatever, and if this person is a wannabe pro, they'll probably think those are too high up their range to fold. If they have random Ax, this is probably the last money you're getting from them regardless, so you might as well take over the lead and ensure the stacks go in.
Also, if you're not x/ring here with your value, are you x/ring JT ever for bluff?