I saw this hand in Vegas a few weeks ago and at the time I had no idea what Villian was holding. Popped into my head again so thought I would ask:
Manderlay Bay 1/2, 9 handed. 11PM on a Tuesday. Table is loose passive with at least 2 marks on the table. We are all in town for a convention and I am winning in the game as is the Strong Reg to my right.
Stong Reg LP (700): Playing about 2-3 hands per orbit seems to be pretty tight post flop. Has not made it to many showdowns that I recall specifics on but he showed down maybe 2 or 3 strong hands in the 3 hours we have been playing.
V1 EP (500): One of the marks on the table. Passive and calls down very light. On 3rd buy in for $300
V2 MP (550ish) Tight player somewhat ABC. Has only played maybe 5 or 6 hands I have seen. One a big pot with AA against AK on a K high dry flop. Called 2 bets and then was checked to on the river where he bet about 1/2 pot for value
The Hand
UTG Limps, 1 limp V1 makes it maybe 15, 2 calls to Reg in the cut off who makes it $60. I fold on button, all fold except V1 and V2.
Flop ($135ish)
JJ2 rainbow
Checks to Reg who bets $40, both villians call
Turn ($255)
7 bringing a club draw.
Checks to Reg who bets $40, both villians call
River ($375)
8 flush does not hit
Checks to Reg who goes all in for $350/$400 more. Both villians fold, Reg mucks. I ask him what he had he just looks at me.
At the time I thought this has to be 88.
I would think villian bets flop bigger with QQ-AA. Does this look like a line 10s or 9s take? What about 66-33? I am quite sure the reg has similar reads on the villian to those I posted. There is a high hand bonus in the room so he does not have Quads. How do you range this Reg?