Quote:
Originally Posted by jbk1993
This is from a $2/$3 game. I have $700 or so villain has about $230.
Dude in utg +3 raises to 15. I saw him raise preflop earlier with 76o so I planned to 3! when given the opportunity. I 3! To 50 with 76cc in the seat next to him.
Guy to my immediate left calls and the initial raiser folds. The guy who cold called me is a loosish reg who I caught bluffing earlier in the session, he tried to turn a pair into a bluff but sized way to small on the river (about 1/4 pot).
Board is 3d7h5h Pot: $110approx (minus the rake)
I cbet 50 guy calls.
Turn is 5d Xx
River is 9s. I check.
He jams for 186. My earlier history with this villain played a little bit into me folding but part of the difficulty I had here was trying to figure out his 3bet cold calling range. I thought he'd pretty much have QQ-99 in this spot with maybe the occasional KQhh, AQhh or AKhh - although I think they're jamming turns at least some of the time. I do have the 7 here which blocks some fullhouses but he should rarely be cold calling with 77 anyway. I ended up folding but this is a spot where I'm worried I could be exploitable. If I had an overpair here I would almost certainly be jamming the river but I guess I should be checking turn and river with 99 here and maybe sometimes AA so my checking range on the river isn't so weak. Thoughts?
IMO, 3betting light with lowstacks is in general mostly spew. We're going to setup a $100 pot with only $180 left, so with so little left behind we won't have much FE postflop if he hits / has anything. Also looks like we're in EP - MP where we simply have too many people behind us that could wake up with a hand. I just fold.
With these small stacks, I think you could argue for a shove on the flop. And, also, what's our overall plan; put in about half our stack with TP and then eventually fold?
On the turn we only have $130 left in a $210 pot and we have TP on a drawy board. Sorta think we have to lie in the bed we made at this point and shove, no?
On the river, if effective stacks were correct in the original description, he should only have about $130 left. Me thinks he most bets overpairs for protection on the turn when checked to and a lot of people will check back 9x TP type hands here thinking they're not called by worse anyways. So it's likely either a monster (boated up on the turn) or busted draw, so I'd lean towards a call.
Gpreflopisspewy,imoG