Quote:
Originally Posted by AbqDave
SB checks. Hero checks. V1 cbets 40. V2 and V3 fold. Back to hero.
I would seriously be thinking about check raising villain all in. Maybe I shouldn't!
That short stack kind of pulls me in a couple of different directions. Question is, do I have any fold equity? He's been playing a wide range and he loves to cbet.
On the other hand, this is not an auto-cbet. If I were villain I would not cbet here with air. But. He isn't me.
Realistically does hero have enough fold equity to make a move here?
Does he have enough io to call?
Hero should call.
Even assuming that the ace isn't an out, Hero is 4:1 to hit the nut flush on the turn, and is being asked to call $40 to win $120, so is getting 3:1 direct odds. Only needs to win an additional $40 for this to be a profitable call, and think that's likely, especially against an aggressive villain.
Don't think Hero has a ton of fold equity. Villain raised pre and bet into 3 people, so while he could have air I think he shows up with a K in his hand a pretty good percentage of the time, especially since you don't have a K and presumably neither V2 nor V3 is folding a K here. Could also have a pocket pair. Generally think stacks are too shallow for V to bet/fold anything but air here, especially since Hero's line of x/r blasting the pot on this flop looks a lot like a flush draw. So, since Hero has the implied odds to draw with his nut draw (or to hit an A) and may not have much fold equity, I just call.