Monster Draw missed but still showdown value? - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

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Monster Draw missed but still showdown value?

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03-17-2019 , 09:27 PM

larrytao

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2018 Posts: 104

Live £1/2

I opened

T to £10 from HJ
Btn called and both blinds called

Main V is SB who is the shortest stack of them all who only had £150 when this hand started
SB is a re-creational player
Effective against BB and Btn are about £500

Pot: £40

Flop:

T
SB led for £10 BB called

I raised to £65 - Thought on sizing?
Btn folded
SB called and BB folded

At this point, I don't really think I could win this hand unimproved - expecting Sb to have a bad K most of the time - by observing his play, if he has 2 spades, he is probably going for it

Pot: £180

Turn:

3
Check Check

River:

5
SB all in for £75

Thoughts?

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03-17-2019 , 09:33 PM

branch0095

adept

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 928

Flop sizing seems fine.

I think the discussion point is the turn and whether you should continue or not. I think there's arguments for both and it's V dependent. As played I'd fold river, especially holding 2 spades.

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03-18-2019 , 09:25 AM

samo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 4,251

Fold as played, since Hero blocks many draws.

Turn - AI based on the amount of Hero's equity.

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03-18-2019 , 10:38 AM

KID777777

adept

Join Date: May 2018 Posts: 869

If we wanted to play lowball this shallow then we can flat flop and wait to gii on turns / rivers
If we are raising flop here, you've got to barrel turn

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03-18-2019 , 10:52 AM

twitcherroo

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 2,482

Larry - you definitely made this interesting. When you raise the flop, with V stack and your strong equity but marginal SDV i’m 100% firing AI OTT. Now that you flipped over a big draw and V seized the weakness and shoved the river I think you have to call, I guess but don’t love it. Expect to lose to QJo.

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03-18-2019 , 10:57 AM

Spanishmoon

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 1,518

Quote:

Originally Posted by KID777777

If we wanted to play lowball this shallow then we can flat flop and wait to gii on turns / rivers
If we are raising flop here, you've got to barrel turn

^This

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