Hero: table bau5. Been isolating a maniac all night. Table has been a little nuts. Normally I like to lag it up but I'm pretending to be a rock so I have a tag/winning image - Just showed a big bluff though so that may have affected my image (though I'm still winning) - $1100
Villain - good guy, been playing husng's on his iphone all night, took down two big pots with KK twice (king high straights) a little bit earlier. Seems like a thinking player and playing mostly tag as that is a good approach at this table, though I think he could get cray if he felt like it. Also, came from a 5/5 game when he saw the maniac come and sat right to his left. $800 ish
Straddle $5
V opens in MP to $20
Hero (mp 2) flat with QdJd
CO calls
Straddler calls.
Flop ($60)
Jc7c6h
Checks to me and I bet $45
CO folds
Straddler folds
V calls
Turn ($150)
2c
Check, check
River
Kd
Check, check.
So looking back I think V cbets all overpairs and flush draws. When he flat me, I wasn't sure what to expect. When the club came in, I decide to check back for pot control as i feel after my big bluff, he might try something on me.
River - at this point I wasn't sure anything worse would call.
But again, looking back, any J, overpair, fd, or overcards with high club are probably c-betting so when the flush comes in I shouldn't be scared and when the K comes in I shouldn't be scared as he'd probably lead river with either. With that being the case, I couldn't figure out what he was calling with otf.
Would any of you bet turn or river or both and why?
My thoughts are that he has 10's and 9's here a lot but I'm not sure if he's calling.
Id throw about 60 bucks in on the river. If he is checking river to you, he obviously does not have the flush nor a king. He would probably bet AJ which means you are ahead. Something small to get a little bit extra. I would have just checked the turn as well.
Super wet board so he would have to protect a strong hand. With multiway pot he should be giving up with AK. I would have checked turn. Turn card hit alot of his range. I rarely check a river (I'm aggro) but in this instance a thin value bet just isn't worth it. I think its a good river check. Your value comes from seeing his hand. I would have made him show before I let him know what I had.
He would have bet any queen on flop. His likely range is pp but highly doubt he calls a decent size bet. Plus we can't call a raise.
His range is pretty polarized here.
