ES-~$400 2 V's I play against a lot who are on my level. Probably win ~$22pr hr playing 1/3. None of us crush the game for 10BBs per hr. My money is on them reading 2+2 & probably subscribe to one of those
pay to learn sites, as they work & don't play much at all during the week. What else is a poker player to do?
They're 26-30 years old & not married. I believe they make a decent living; they don't wear ear-buds & are almost always watching the hands go down that they're not in. They go for a walk every 1.5hrs or so for 10-15 minutes. And, they don't try to be cool by wearing hoodies with sunglasses, etc. They seem to be like me & go for a walk when they get bored instead of getting
splashy. I have never seen them get involved with 6th street chatter about their play, only other's play, trying to pry info. A sure sign of a serious player.
My opening range UTG-UTG+3 is under 10% & they should know this. The only reason I play 77-99 UTG-UTG+3, 10-handed, is because of the BBJ. I open all hands for $13 unless table dynamics dictate more to get it no more than 3 way to the flop.
At this table $15 should do the trick, as I have played very few hands in EP over the last 3 hours & with it being 2am & nothing exciting going on, they should have noticed that my action comes when I'm OTB - OTB+4.
Hero: $415 [they both cover with ~$450 & LJ $480] opens
[8 handed] for $15 with 7
7
& gets called by V1 & V2. V1 is Button +4 & V2 is the Low-jack.
Of the 7 other players at the table, these are the 2 I would prefer not to be up against. I do not believe they are friends, as they do not break together. They would have to be keeping it well disguised & are not always at the same table.
We can put both Vs on all PPs, A9s -AQs, AQo, 87s+ any 2 suited Broadway cards. That's only 9.8%% of all starting hands, however, they know me well enough to give me credit opening UTG.
They are also 3! KK+, AKs/o & we should give QQ 3! 50% weight.
Lowjack may have 65s+, hoping blinds come in, but not likely as he prefers to have some high card strength should he flop a pair & some type of draw.
Some would say a TAG would raise AQs in position, but I tell you now, they know I'm tight in EP should know that AQs is a dog vs. my range, i.e., 55-45.
I would want to try & outplay me postflop [holding AQs] if I was up against myself.
I'm also not sure they would expect me to be opening 77 UTG for $15 as I don't recall them ever seeing me showdown 77-99 after I o/r in EP.
Flop: $42 [raked] T
8
6
It is unlikely that they called with J9s, 97s, T8s, 86s, so I wouldn't give those hands more than 20% weight.
J9s has 22% equity vs. my range going to the flop, 28.5% to the turn & 34% to the river. They are just not the type to gamble with those hands with so few players in the pot & me having o/r UTG. Maybe I give them & their respect for my o/r in EP too much weight.
So whatz a Hero to do? See ya' all in 24 hours. I know, not the most exciting PAHWM but it was for me.