Quote:
Originally Posted by Avaritia
Snapping vs described villain.
Depends how much of a thinking player villain is. If villain is a good hand reader and is thus aware that hero's range on the river is very weak, then I agree river is a snap call. I suspect this lag IS cognizant of what's going on here, so yeah I'm calling.
My take on the situation:
Preflop is kinda a standard squeezing spot in a kill pot that most lags will bite at with a decently wide range.
Flop is a standard Cbet.
Turn is a standard barrel spot for any aggressive player (but the sizing should already make us suspicious on this specific board, the lag should know your most likely hand is a pocket pair after you call that flop, so why does the lag bet so much?)
River bet sizing just doesn't make much sense since this lag should still be aware that your range is weak, so again why so much? Everything looks fishy here imo. Definitely a nuts or nothing type spot.
Basically I'm snap calling the river if this lag is a thinking player. We should expect this player's preflop range to be wider than normal due to his good position, the fact that it's a kill pot, and his past history also indicates this guy is not afraid to open it up, and given how the play postflop went down (hero check/calling) on this specific board with that overcard Q on the turn, the villain's range is actually gonna still be wide by the river.
It's funny, I feel like I'm in these situations quite often. When I'm against a player who I think is trying to play well, I'm gonna have nothing on the river in this spot so ****ing often it's laughable. This is one of those spots where I play very exploitable poker (against the right victim), and if a good player is aware of that, they can get a helluva lot of my money by just check/calling down every street until I get what's going on. Honestly that's how you destroy lags imo, by check/calling down 77s in spots like this. Lags live off people folding marginal hands like 77s in these kind of spots.
BTW the most important point of this hand is that Queen turn overcard, which every lag is gonna bite at, thus keeping their range wide to the river, and any decent hand reading lag is gonna know the hero's range is probably capped on the turn to weak pairs underneath the queen, thus making a barrel on a blank river card mandatory.