Take a step back and focus on the fundamental principles at play here.
Why do we raise? There are many reasons to raise but basic reasons are to inflate the pot when we have an equity advantage because based on villain tendencies we believe our villain will call with a lessor hand (or fold a better hand--- though that doesn't apply to this villain).
The problem I see in this thread is that we have been conditioned to "only" 3-bet with a certain range of hands and to "only" 4-bet with a certain range of hands.
This is right 98% of the time, but not vs this villain.
Villain is what I refer to as an "Awesome Possum". It's a new poker term I've come up with. Awesome possums are LAG ego maniacs or sometimes the disease is temporary, they run the table a little bit, feel bullet proof, and get in that "i'm going to outplay you no matter what" mode of poker. Once a player has turned into an Awesome Possum, they are just never folding or ever giving up on a hand no matter what.
So, we have a player description LAG + Ego Maniac. We have a range: ATC.
So, lets apply some principles of poker to this situation.
If we had A
K
how many of you would advocate being comfortable with 5-betting a villain with a ATC range and getting it all of if he jammed us. I would imagine most of you would be.
Quote:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
2,097,572,400 games 0.061 secs 34,386,432,786 games/sec
equity win
Hand 0: 67.045% { AdKd }
Hand 1: 32.955% { random }
So we have no problems in this scenario, that is 5-betting his ATC range and getting it in right?
How about doing it with 99?
Quote:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
12,585,434,400 games 0.102 secs 123,386,611,764 games/sec
equity win
Hand 0: 72.057% { 99 }
Hand 1: 27.943% { random }
As you can see, 99 is a better hand than A
K
against this villain.
now, I can already hear the excuse, "But dgi, what if he 6-bet ships us, what if he only calls our 5-bet with JJ+...."
That is being scared poker.
Instead of worrying about the what ifs, lets make our decisions based on the observable data and the facts.
Fact is, this villain has demonstrated an insanely wide opening range from the button and has now demonstrated that he has adjusted to our light 3-bets by 4-betting us with a wide range that at best consists of 33+. Hero and villain have history and villain has shown himself to be an awesome possum.
Against this type of villain, 99 is pure freaking +EV gold, and we should have a massive pulsating boner to 5-bet this guy and "hope" that he 6-bet shoves us so we can snap call him with 99.
Poker is all about adjusting to your opponents and your situation. Granted, this situation is very rare, but these are the situations in which we can print money if we truly understand the fundamental concepts and principles of poker.
This is a high variance +EV spot. Having 99 vs this villain is equivalent to having KK vs a typical aggro donk. Would we ever be scared to get it all-in with KK vs an aggro donk?
These types of players are used to using their hyper aggression to fold out players because most ABC players just don't want to play for 150bb without the near nuts or a top 2% range. So players like this count on that and they pound-pound-pound the pot mercilessly because they know ABC players are "gonna wait for a better spot" 98% of the time.
In this case, Hero is in a leveling war with an Awesome Possum.
Sometimes, when it is thinking player vs thinking player you are going to be in spots that would otherwise be considered marginal but in reality you are way ahead if you are willing to lift up your skirt, grab your balls, and go to war.
Against Awesome Possums like this, our plan should be to 5-bet and then no matter how scary the board is, we jam flop.
Basically, this situation is rare, maybe happens 1% of the time,
"Cry Havoc and Let Loose the Dogs of War"
Last edited by dgiharris; 11-04-2014 at 02:10 PM.