Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,087
With 100 bb stack, and no reads on MP being a supernit, I think you gotta stick it in here.
If we give MP a range of QQ, KK, AA, AK, AQ, AJ, A10, KQ, J10, we have 56%
Given that it would be so unusual for villain to limp/call QQ, KK, AA in MP in multiway pot, plus we have 2 blockers to AA, KK. I think we can take those out. Now we have 60%.
If villains tighter and we think that he folds AJ, A10 to UTG's shove, we're 50%.
If villains looser and has AJ, A10, plus some weaker pair+gutters, like KJ, K10, QJ, Q10, we're way, way ahead.
So we're not folding.
The next decision is flat or shove. I actually don't mind either play, but in-game I just shove to get max value from weaker hands and because I hate life when a Q, J, 10 hits. Though, to be honest, villain should rarely be folding that last 300 in this huge pot when he's already put in 225 and there's
Edit: I don't think we even have to bother with UTG's range.
1)His shove is only 40 bb
2)No one is ever open shoving the nuts here
Last edited by Petey 5thStreet; 09-03-2013 at 07:21 AM.