Quote:
Originally Posted by thebigheizung
There's about 188 in the pot on the turn. 60 is definitely not enough here.
You are correct sah, I left out $60 bucks in my pot calculation.
Quote:
Originally Posted by thebigheizung
@pjhpmc
You included almost no deuces into villain's range. I agree in principle that we have villain's range crushed, but there are definitely some deuces in his range (A2s and maybe also A2o, K2s maybe...) Hard to judge exactly, but some deuces need to be included i assume.
I didn't put any 2x hands into the build because of our OP's original range estimate of JK-AK and all pairs, which seemed reasonable to me at the time. Our villain flat called the BB PF and then called our 10xBB PFR, so I would like to think that his range would exclude all Ax2x-3x2x kind of hands.
However, if we take OP's original statement of "He plays about 80% of the hands out there" our range significantly changes - But it seemed rather silly to me to include almost every hand in the deck in a calculation. At that point, we might as well hit the "Random" button on PokerStove:
Board: 8d 2h 2s 9c Th
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 11.448% 11.39% 00.06% 92 0.50 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 92s+, 82s+, 73s+, 62s+, 52s+, 43s, A2o+, K2o+, Q2o+, J3o+, T5o+, 95o+, 85o+, 75o+, 65o, 54o }
Hand 1: 88.552% 88.49% 00.06% 715 0.50 { QcQs }
Realistically there are not many 2x hands that would call a 10bb PFR - A2 suited is the only "reasonable" hand I can see in this spot, and even thats a stretch for me. Still, we are dealing with a crazy head person here.....so who knows?