Quote:
Originally Posted by Petrucci
I am not neccesarily saying we should fold, but based on population tendencies alone this is gonne be AA _alot_ compared to anything else. Also at 200 BB we are really starting to get into "possible to get away" from KK territory in my book.
If we think it's AA, we should just fold pre though?
It's hard to know how much he's adjusted to *this* particular setup given it's not a common scenario but I do know he overall adjusts to my LAG nature. For example:
1. 3-betting my opens with hands like AJo that he'd usually just flat.
2. Calling down with top-pair, 3rd-kicker when he'd usually fold
3. Stacking off with JJ to my 3-bet when 80BB deep.
That being said, those are all rather different from willingness to stack off 200BB deep.
Obviously this is mostly a ranging exercise, but now that I look at it I think it's a fold. Against a range of AA, KK, 1 combo of AKs and 3 combos of QQ I have 43% equity but I need 44% to stack off for $540 into a $1220 pot.