Quote:
Originally Posted by winadil
old passive guy that raises are very rarely raising you to keep you in line.
this villian has got 2 pair minimum here.
the flop is pretty standard till villian starts raising you.
the issue is the raises sizing is so small that it seems criminal to be folding here for such a great price but when in reality you are crushed.
the turn again he bets small and again you call but your ranging on villian is pretty weak, again it comes back to your original read of old passive guy, on a board of A975 what hands are you beating? A8/AT are about it and this villian is not check/raise,bet line here with those.
River is an easy fold.
I think what made this hand intresting for you is that your read on the villian seem to change a little with each street of betting.
preflop villian is old passive guy
flop villian might be raising with weaker TP but also have AK/AQ in his range
Turn you are concern about sets/AK/AQ but he could also have weaker Ax's in his hand as his bet sizing is small
River you think he isnt bluffing and that he "has" it
I think that what also threw you off was the small raise/bet sizing from villian.
I am sure that if you think about it more how the hand played out you will think that you should be folding on the flop a lot more of the time. in the end it cost you 30bb when really you could happily cbet/fold against this villian a lot of the time and feel good about it.
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He was raising with a one pair hand on the flop.. he claimed he had AQ; my read did not change as hand progressed, his range was simply narrowed down by the river bet; I can easily remove weaker A's from his range on the river bc the line he is taking is simply too strong for him to have those hands; OTF and OTT I think that those hands make up a small part of his range; apparently he had AQ he said; I think I could be finding a fold on the flop and perhaps my call was a bit ambitious , however saying he has 2P or better on the flop is a stretch .