Quote:
Originally Posted by spikeraw22
What are you doing on the river if V1 decides to call or ship the turn for $119? Pot becomes unmanageable at that point. If the heart draw misses are you committed due to bloatation?
Imo, the beauty of LLSNL is that players more or less play their hands face up.
If we bet $85 - $100 on turn and V ships on us on turn, we can fold. However, if we bet "weak" on turn like we did for less than 1/2 pot and then V ships on us, is he shipping on us because he is strong or because he sense's weakness and thinks he is either ahead with his KQ or that he can turn his draw into a semi-bluff.
Imo, since this hand started more or less heads up on a dry board we don't have to worry about pot controlling. We can and should be playing our hand for straight value since we are ahead of most of villain's range here. Majority of his range should be Kx, maybe even some stubborn Tx, and draws.
Come river, given we hit a back door, again we can feel confident leading out for value. And the Q is a great card for us since KQ should be in V's range.
Now, if we were on a pure draw, then you are right, we should be pot controlling. But we have TPTK w/ nut draw on a fairly safe board for us... We should feel good about betting out each street for value...
If V has a full boat, then meh, we get raped. But otherwise, playing straight forward here for value is most optimal line long term...