Not giving all the details to save time and focus on problem.
$1/$2 table
Hero is short stacked ($94)
Action table, lots of drinking and deep stacks.
3 limps, Hero next to act with K
K
,
Villain A (button) $900: raises to $16 out of turn, Hero then limps and makes action binding.
Villain B (big blind) $420: reraises to $36 (creative player but obviously has big hand) folds to hero
Hero Calls, Villain A calls
My read is pretty solid that both players will get in my remaining $58 post flop, and
I would rather play 3 handed then 2, for more money in the pot & potential fold equity after I'm in.
On the flop I do get it all in and both players call.
By the river both those players are all in, Villain A hits flush A
Q
, Villain B says she had AA and mucks.
Lets start questioning my "logic"
So I was a 2:1 favorite against Villain A, however if I raised preflop I thought he would fold, but if I called, I figured he would be all in with me. Was pretty sure Villain B was not getting off her hand no matter what. It wasn't as much to assume as it might seem if you know the players.
So I had $94, he had $16 in, and I wanted the rest of his $78 in the pot.
Limps +3 all in's - rake = my main pot at $284
So for the rest of his $78 He has to pay 27.5% of the allin pot. (counting from my preflop decision) Lets say everyone was honest about their holdings and he had 9.4% equity in the pot..
does this make the flat the superior move? All I care about was I was 2:1 against him and he paid less to get into the pot. But I cant forget about fold equity and maybe (probably not) I can get away if the A flops.
And the hands he is sure to play here is a wider range then just AQ, so he would easily come in with 88+... this player maybe a little less, and as long as the board doesn't come AKQ he would stick with it... When I run through all the possibility's in my head I think that flatting here instead of raising is probably a little better in the long run. But I have been in these pots as the person with AA plenty and the other guy with KK just flats and wrecks my day.
Thoughts and comments please.