Quote:
Originally Posted by the_dude_174
I get it. Your line is clearly more +EV. It just exposes us to (imo) unnecessary variance. (maybe you're not the biggest nit ITF....)
My goal is to win consistently. I think there is a fine line to toe between maximizing EV and controlling the amount of variance we willingly take on.
Agree either option is ok.
Quote:
Originally Posted by setintostraight
I think even with AA, flatting may be higher EV, but also a lot more variance, so people who aren't bankrolled properly (like myself for instance) will prefer a low variance play - jamming/taking it down pre.
I'm adequately rolled for the games I play, and am much more concerned with finding the most +ev line in these spots than with balancing ev and variance.
The idea that sometimes utg+1 or MP1 calls a preflop jam, but might not be willing to get it in on a lot of flops, is an excellent argument for jamming. That and the times that the $60 raiser is able to bluff me out with a flop jam with AK on specifically a QJx board, makes me think this might be a toss-up.
The other side being that on any board that comes T-high or lower, I think it's reasonable to assume he's also jamming a fair amount of the time, and I'm usually stacking QQ, JJ, AK hands that would have folded to a preflop jam.