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Originally Posted by I'm Loose 33
You do not know anything about what the first two players have.
Is this our first orbit at the table?
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They are going to check their strong hands to the pre-flop raiser.
yep, that tends to be a common strategy. That doesnt mean we insta-shutdown with KK.
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They will also check their draws.
Now this tends to be a really common strategy, all the more reason to bet with KK.
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But the first position could have had a set
You could say that of any player at any time. We cant play poker by assuming someone might have a set and then checking based upon that assumption without any action to go on whatsoever.
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You have to bet something in order to find out who is drawing and who really has a hand. But no need to bet big in a 4-way pot to find out you are behind. A small bet will accomplish the same thing.
You should never be betting to find out information. You should go with the information you already have and then adjust based upon their reaction. The information we have, while limited, is not useless. They called preflop, it's live, and it's low stakes, plus any reads hero might have if he's been at the table long enough. Their range to continue on a board like this are any single pair, any flush draw, any gutshot. This is enough to justify a "standard" bet of 50-75% pot.
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In a 1/2 game, this is a big pot. Do not expect anyone to call this river bet with only top pair hands.
We dont have to bet the river if it seems like everything missed, this is why you might want to size up on the flop/turn to extract as much value as you can while they're drawing, not to "play it safe in case they hit".
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If they do, you are playing in a very profitable game. You may get called all the way down with a one pair hand if it was heads up from the flop.
Sure we can get 3 streets with really small bet sizes, but we're giving favorable odds to get outdrawn while we're at it. I'd rather get 2 streets with a PSB than 3 streets at 50%, especially given the risk of being outdrawn if we invite them in.
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Also multi-way pots grow quicker than heads up because you are getting two or three calls. This can make it hard to bet people off their draw on the turn.
I'm not trying to make people fold when I have KK. I want them to call, I just want it to be a mistake when they do.