Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny_on_the_spot
a lot has changed from turn to river. not on the board but the fact that V, in position, bet is, in fact, more information than we had OTT.
i'm not saying this is a fold or a call, but this information is important. if V had a marginal SDV hand, he may take the show down. if V has air, he may think that barely a 1/2 PSB isn't going to get OP off his hand, so he may give up. any real value hand V has should be jamming and not betting smaller because OP already called 700+ OTT, so V has to go for max value when OP has a hand.
River was a brick. The only real hand that "got there" was pocket 4s which shouldn't have stayed in on the turn. I don't know how "solid" the pro is, but H should have figured out what the V's range is on the turn. I am assuming the defend here is the H putting V on more flush/straight draws than sets because duh.
Like, if H doesn't think V has a set, I would be donking out on most brick rivers. Solid V's who fire on the turn with that board texture are going to be firing again on blanks a good chunk of the time, even if has a broken draw. I think we might be beat here, but I think I have to make that decision on the.
If I did math correctly, V has 1050 in front of him with 2565 in the pot, fighting a player who bet check/called all the way through. He probably puts you on AKc that broke his draw. I fold it away here as played, but I wouldn't have checked flop/turn, so here we are.