Quote:
Originally Posted by CookbytheBook
which still lines up with a player who can do this with 88-qq to protect from bad turns.
The read hero would need to do an absurd fold here is that the $10->20$ preflop action indicates a small pocket pair that is juicing the pot for when they hit a set, and villain plays 88-tt reasonably on this type of flop and cant have jj-qq and only overbets with >aa. and never bluffs.
I will admit I'm not sure what to make of the weird tiny 3-bet which I think is the key piece of information here. Wouldn't think he'd be juicing the pot with a speculative hand. He hasn't done it so far, he limped 22, and generally this isn't the kind of table where you need to juice the action because money will go in post-flop. So, in game I discounted all sets, two pair and straights given the board texture. AA makes sense up until he calls my pre-flop 4-bet, at which point I discount it. Something like TT-QQ and maybe AK makes some sense. All that said, V is a bit drunk and feisty, and I don't get the sense he is thinking deeply about poker, so who knows what he'll do.