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KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet

08-30-2018 , 07:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AllTheCheese
@Petrucci: Your experience is not representative of mine. There are of course players you can identify who only 4bet KK+ even against an LP 3bet, but that is not my general population read on TAG regs. Preflop, I would put QQ,AK at minimum 75% weight in his range.

When you say "in theory a random Villain can cold 4bet here with anything and blast cbet," that is a distortion of the argument. In PRACTICE, he could have anything. Surely someone in history has 4bet 27o in his exact spot. In THEORY, he should have some carefully selected bluffs. It is possible he is thinking in this theoretically sound way - for example if Villain was me - but his thought process doesn't need to be deeper than "I have AK, so he probably doesn't have KK+. Let me represent KK+."
Then i guess we have vastly different population tendencies experiences, and that probably plays a big role in our disagreements. Wich is fair of course.
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-30-2018 , 08:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Petrucci
I dont agree with this, on several levels.

Livepoker gives us incredible and rare opportunites to play extremely unbalanced,making extremely exploitative plays due to the nature of livepoker. Due to how absurdly unbalanced the vast majority of our opponents is playing,we can range them more accurate than we should have been able to if they was playing more balanced (but fact is they are not). It would be stupid from an EV point of view to not take advantage of these possibilities to the max.

Wich in the next step makes applying GTO based theory far from optimal. If we can avoid losing our 240 BB stack here to a very very likely AA, that is insane regarding the impact it will have on our winrate and edge in the game. Preflop tendencies regarding 3 and 4 betting is an area that most live villains is _extremely_ predictable( same as when check-raising the turn is usually very nutted),as such we should be taking advantage of this knowledge.

Like just start to ask yourself some basic questions to start off a train of thought, couple that comes to mind:

1) Lets say you go and play 100 hours of 2/5, how often will you likely even see a described tight player cold 4 bet from the blinds during that timespan? Regarding how few times that will happen, what does that says about his likely range?

2) How often during that timespan will it occur that a tight villain is cold 4 betting from the blinds 240 BB deep AND fire out 400 into 500 pot C bet after getting called pre without having the stones?
I can't agree more. GTO strategy doesn't really apply to live low stake games.I would probably fold kk preflop facing cold 4bet from a tight regular if I didn't see him iso raise with k9s .
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-30-2018 , 09:46 PM
I would meh fold to cold 4b
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-30-2018 , 11:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Minatorr
I would meh fold to cold 4b
Cool bro you're a pro's pro
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 12:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wait
Cool bro you're a pro's pro
Cool yourself
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 12:38 AM
Given the situation, I can see a fold, but I can't make a fold. I also know in the games I play in, this has a chance to go check check after. Not sure I wouldn't check back a turn here.

For the spot, I pretty much know what I'm up against, AA is a plurality here. I make what is probably a neg EV play and call. If he shoves, I'll evaluate that then. I have enough equity in my mind to call, but like I said, it might be a -EV play.

Just being honest. Where I play, ain't no one making a living at 2/5. I'm not freaking out at Johnny pro across the table so many high level weird ass bluff plays are going to make me like my hand more.

If it's AA, so be it. If it's a set, oh well. Sucks ass. Reload.
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 12:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by maplestar
I can't agree more. GTO strategy doesn't really apply to live low stake games.I would probably fold kk preflop facing cold 4bet from a tight regular if I didn't see him iso raise with k9s .
OP concludes v is tight but what is the evidence that went into building this read? The K9 hand? if he is a "regular" shouldn't that mean we have more history than one single hand? By regular do we mean that he seems like he plays often, or that we've seen him around frequently?

How is our analysis: K9s hand + Cold 4b from sb = flat KK and fold to flop Cbet on low board?

Last edited by Mr. Muckit; 08-31-2018 at 12:45 AM.
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 02:42 AM
I don’t think anyone has mentioned this yet, but the way V played the hand he could put hero on AK/JJ and be bombing it otf with QQ to reduce peeling odds with AK and get value from JJ.

When hero flats pre, V probably thinks QQ is the nuts. One time a V flatted my 3! with KK and I tripled-barreled QQ on a good runout. Showdown was a surprise. Not a 4! situation but still.

Also, I don’t think the K9 hand is that relevant. Isolating is not the same as cold 4! and players can have very different starting hand standards for each. But I do think putting V on AA is too narrow. Haven’t we all learned not to have a calling range out of the blinds and to just 3!/4! pre?

Last edited by DumbosTrunk; 08-31-2018 at 02:47 AM.
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 03:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
We're not a million miles away from having setmine odds against AA because we always get stacks in when we hit (unlike most setmine situations, where prospects of getting stacks in are uncertain). Betting 400 into 500 was not predictable and a) forces a decision for stacks right now and b) implies great confidence in his hand. I wouldn't even hate a fold pre though, this tiny 4bet size out of the SB from a tight regular is just AA like 90% of the time, QQ (or the other two kings) the other 10%.
not where I play. definitely AK suited and often AKo, also QQ and then add at least 5% spaz.

I'm happy with the flat pre but we can't fold on this flop
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 03:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Petrucci
How often do you see a villain at 2/5 C-bet piling 400 into 500 here as a bluff with AK after cold 4 betting pre from the blinds?

Its just pretty much never happenning, and his C bet sizing alone makes me confidently remove all AK from his range. Many people wont C bet AK after they whiff like this, and the people who do C bet bluff chooses a smaller sizing.

Some amount of QQ _could_ be in his range as played, but that doesent mean a stackoff is correct when we will run into like 10 AA for every QQ.

we can't have it both ways

we can't say 'hmm' the 4 bet from the SB is small....must be AA and then also say 'hmm he bet 80% of pot on a low dry board...must be AA'

edit: it wasn't you (I think) pointing out that a small 4 bet is AA - think it was ChrisV but you may have said it too...cant' be ****ed to check

Last edited by feel wrath; 08-31-2018 at 03:39 AM.
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 03:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tomark
This is well respected poker coach Bill Hubbard suggesting a min 5!/F preflop in nearly exactly this situation, but the Vs he describes are looser than Sb is described here.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uce8vR8Nbdk
I don't want to speak ill of the dead, but that coach was not particularly respected by good players on this forum
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 05:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by feel wrath
we can't have it both ways

we can't say 'hmm' the 4 bet from the SB is small....must be AA and then also say 'hmm he bet 80% of pot on a low dry board...must be AA'

edit: it wasn't you (I think) pointing out that a small 4 bet is AA - think it was ChrisV but you may have said it too...cant' be ****ed to check
I am not argueing to have it both ways as far as i can see. It was indeed ChrisV argueing about the 4 bet size, not me.


What i said in an earlier post though yesterday, is that preflop alarmbells is already going off in my head when i face the cold 4 bet pre- but that i dont have enough information total based on solely preflop to fold right there. I need to see the flop+action in position to further develope my read/ranging, before i feel like i can pretty confidently consider to fold KK in a spot like this. Its the total amount of information that is being made available to me that is the important part.
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 08:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by maplestar
I can't agree more. GTO strategy doesn't really apply to live low stake games.I would probably fold kk preflop facing cold 4bet from a tight regular if I didn't see him iso raise with k9s .
Results?
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 09:38 AM
My experience is that if this V is really going to take this line with [QQ-,AK-], then we'd have more hand histories to consider.

E.g. he'd be 3b from the blinds at higher frequency.

E.g. 2... We'd have a better idea of his bet sizing tendencies to help us deduce his range here.

As played, I puke fold otf.

But I probably 5b/gii him pre even at this stack size.

V 4b/f with AK is perfectly fine with me...
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
08-31-2018 , 11:24 AM
Hero, are you a younger looking male? What is V? Just curious bc even if you have a current tight imagine, I feel older guys sometimes stereo type (and prob rightfully so) younger males as aggro

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KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
09-01-2018 , 09:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 23LBJ23
Hero, are you a younger looking male? What is V? Just curious bc even if you have a current tight imagine, I feel older guys sometimes stereo type (and prob rightfully so) younger males as aggro

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I have a young Asian face and villain is also a young asian kid.
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote
09-01-2018 , 09:42 PM
OK,guys. I haven't played poker for a year since I became a pro blackjack player.So I came back to poker table and lost two huge pots including this one at the same table.Of course,villain has AA.Live poker is rigged
KK facing cold 4bet preflop 240BB and huge flop bet Quote

      
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