K hi flush on turn, paired board - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

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K hi flush on turn, paired board

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01-27-2014 , 06:51 AM

eobmtns

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 2,466

5* Strip room, 1-2 NL, 12:30 Saturday night. Villain has just bought in with $400. Hero has $250 (up from $100 an hour earlier).

Fold to Hero in BTN with K

, Hero raises to $12
SB folds
Villain in BB calls

Flop: J

Villain bets 15
Hero calls

Turn: 3

Villain bets 30
Hero calls

River: 7

Villain bets 70
Hero ?

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01-27-2014 , 07:44 AM

Richie4444

enthusiast

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 91

Raise turn. Only hands that call pre flop and beat you are jj or 88. If he has Ax clubs its yuck. He more likely has a,j with a club or q,j with a club. As played call river.

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01-27-2014 , 07:48 AM

ChicagoLex

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 245

As played I just call. I don't think we are getting called down by many worse hands at this point and we are basically stacking off if we raise. Very possible we are ahead of trips or Jx hands that V turned into bluffs. We took a very passive line so I think our hand is underrepresented enough to justify a call.

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01-27-2014 , 08:00 AM

Ohhesdamned

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 1,882

Raise turn to set up river jam

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01-27-2014 , 10:08 AM

Chip Chimp

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 103

What casino is this that is 1\2 and allows a 400 buy in?

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01-27-2014 , 10:40 AM

Ohhesdamned

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 1,882

Most casinos

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01-27-2014 , 11:09 AM

iraisetoomuch

banned

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 37,474

As played call river for sure.
I'm not sure that raising turn is a good idea as some people said though. I think his calling range is ahead of us. It likely constitutes AJ, JJ, 88, 33, J8s, J3s, and most flushes.
We are not beating that range:

Board: Jc 8c 3c 3h 7c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.455% 45.45% 00.00% 15 0.00 { KcTc }
Hand 1: 54.545% 54.55% 00.00% 18 0.00 { JJ, 88, 33, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, QcTc, Qc9c, Qc8c, Qc7c, J8s, J3s, 9c8c, 9c6c, 9c5c, 8c6c, 8c5c, 6c5c, 6c4c, 5c4c, AJo }

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01-27-2014 , 01:53 PM

bwslim69

I'm a Diva, Bruh

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 24,927

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ohhesdamned

Most casinos

Sent from my GT-I9300 using 2+2 Forums

No not at all

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01-27-2014 , 01:55 PM

beauvanlaanen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 12,487

Raise turn. Call river.

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