Quote:
Originally Posted by jesse123
So how much would V have to have behind in his stack after his flop raise for you to consider a line where you bet/call the flop? Is b/c a better line with $500 effective stacks?
I think the larger the stack sizes get and more we are leaning towards a fold.
I almost never like a bet/call here mostly because when a 4th flush card comes in that shuts down all action and we are going to have a hard time squeezing out any money from a hand that is worse then ours and a 4th club or straight card can kill our action and our hand.
However when stacks are small like they are here it would be an error to call flop and fold turn because we are then getting offered such a tremendous price on a hand that may currently be good or may become good.
If he would ever bluff(semi or otherwise) this flop or raise for value with a worse hand it becomes a bigger mistake to fold then it is to call mostly from a pot odds point of view.
So for instance if the pot is 40 and you bet 40 and he moves all in for 100 more. You know have to call 100 into 220 so your getting 2.25 to 1 but for simplicity sake lets say 2-1.
You need to win the pot by showdown 33% of the time to hit the break-even point. We have a strong flush draw but may be dominated so lets say discount some outs for the times we get it in against a bigger flush draw or an already made flush. by the rule of 2 and 4 we are roughly 28% to make our hand. Not good enough.
However, as I said before if he is EVER doing this with 55+ I think we can profitably call.
I think its a bet/raise here because there are so many cards that can come that can either kill our action or our hand and we can definitely get called by worse often enough to show a profit.