Quote:
Originally Posted by AlanBostick
PF open was way too big. Don't size your opens to the strength of your hand. I would open to $6 or $8, no more.
And to the person advocating a preflop shove, don't be silly. I'd much rather shove with AK (which blocks AA and KK) than JJ (which blocks pretty much nothing that beats us). Our hand is too strong to merely setmine with, so we should call that 3bet (but be aware that the raise prices us out of setmining, and that's another reason not to open for so much).
On the turn, even assuming we can extract maximum value if we hit from out of position, pot + implieds are laying us 5.3:1. We have ~16% equity so we need 6.25:1 to turn a profit. The likelihood that the villain would do this with AK probably tips the balance towards a call, but if so, it's close.
On the river, our MDF is 53%. Do we really think JJ is in the top half of the range with which we reach the river like this? Against an unknown, we should fold. I would want a positive read that the villain bluffs too much before I called here.
I had adjusted all open raises to a larger size, I was not doing it based on hand strength, didnt mean to make it sound like I did that. 6-8$ would have had the entire table calling... There was also a fair amount of straddling on this table though not in this hand, so there was an overal more actiony vibe at the table..